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Stormy Whoopee Cap
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Sales :
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#1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20741353
Sold for Blizzardy Crown (1.5)
1.5*0.9=1.4 (Rounded)
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#2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20979385
Sold for Stormy Merryweather (1.5)
1.5*0.9=1.4 (Rounded)
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#3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20837297
Sold for Ace's Baker Boy (2.5)
2.5*0.9=2.3 (Rounded)
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#4
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21660019
Sold Stormy Whoopee+5 Keys for Ace's Harmburg (2.5)
2.5*0.9=2.3 (Rounded)
B/O on the 3rd trade is 25 keys therefore value can't surpass that.
You forgot to minus the 5 keys on the last trade, therefore the value is 2 Buds
Taking this into account
1.3-1.4 is a much better range and you could call sale #4 and outlier
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21671920 24 Keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21538510 1.66 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21722400 1.5 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21675206 1.5 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21610217 1.5 buds
There are a bunch of sellers at 1.5 buds, your sales at 2.5 might be outliers.
Agree, 2.3 is definitely an outlier
http://www.tf2outpost.com/search/220416876 - every single b/o is under 2. There's even a seller at 1 flat. Your high end sales probably mean that the bakers and hamburg sales are either incorrect or that they need a drop.