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So, this hat had a rather odd change in price, the proof shown in the previous suggestion (before - http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073682619?time=1405666800 After - http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073682619?time=1405753200) shows that the hat was traded for a Terror-watt tin soldier. At the time that the trade perspired the hat was valued at 3.1 - 4.2 buds, not the price at which it is set now. That aside, I will get onto my proof that the hat is easily sellable for the value that I have stated.
So, I myself had one of these hats, I sold it for a Kill-A-Watt Noble - http://i.imgur.com/W80S88r.png
Kill-A-Watt Noble = 3 buds
The same hat went on to be sold for 3 buds and a bills hat within a day - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21729149
(Before - http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014811898?time=1407049200 After - http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014811898?time=1407135600 )
Most sellers on outpost are looking for 3.5 or are not specifying a price
3.5 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19633811
3.5 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21634382
3 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21745680
3.5 buds http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21585419
4 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20822434
Obviously these are not solds but they do show that no one is looking for the price that the hat is set at (par from the one guy at 3 buds which is the high end of the price currently)
P.S this is my first suggestion, so let me know if I need to change anything or have done anything wrong :)
You should fix your second history link, right now the ) is part of it so it doesn't work
selling =/= sold! downvote
So, I myself had one of these hats, I sold it for a Kill-A-Watt Noble - http://i.imgur.com/W80S88r.png
Kill-A-Watt Noble = 3 buds
The same hat went on to be sold for 3 buds and a bills hat within a day - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21729149
(Before - http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014811898?time=1407049200 After - http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014811898?time=1407135600)
Quoted from his suggestion
Noble is outdated, You need to do a mini-suggestion for it
Where does 3.3 come from? When pricing an unusual you use the closest valid price at the time of the sale. There's only a few days between the latest TW Toy Soldier suggestion and the sale. The old price (which is outdated anyways) was set 3 months ago. The new price is the one that is to be used. This is outlined here http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/6033-new-unusual-price-suggestion-guide-the-cheat-sheet/
Edit: Ah, that 3 bud + bill sale is the 3.3. I thought that was a mini for the Noble. You also forgot to apply overpay to the Noble which would put it at ~2.7 but that price is also outdated. A wider range is definitely needed here since that 3 sale from the last suggestion is still valid. 2.5-3.3 would be the place to put this.