Conservative drop I guess.

Sellers:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20619268 2 Buds, 1 month unsold.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21756376 2 Buds, young.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21706913 2 Buds, young.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21784445 2 Buds, young.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21081002 33 Keys(1.7), 4 Weeks unsold.

Sales:

Sold for a Miami Nights Belgian Detective(1.7 with Overpay)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19200173

Sold for a Bubbling Frenchman's Beret(13 Keys with Overpay, Outlier)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049268887?time=1402642800 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049268887?time=1402729200

Sold for 22 Keys(1.2)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091600944?time=1404111600 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091600944?time=1404198000

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20853717

Sold for 1 Bud + 4 Keys(1.2)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079071926?time=1405580400 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079071926?time=1405793844

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21302615

Sold for 2 Buds, Outlier

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121970639?time=1402556400 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121970639?time=1404251860

Sold for a Miami Nights Stately Steely Toe(0.9 with Overpay, Outlier)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095828101?time=1403938800 -> profiles/76561198095828101?time=1404100491

Sold for a Smoking Le Party Phantom(1.8 with Overpay, Outlier)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059612679?time=1404457200 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059612679?time=1404802800

Sold for a Terror-Watt Belgian Detective(1.4 with Overpay)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2672975938,319,5 Noir History

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2718768016,30128,5 Belgian History

Sold for a Midnight Whirlwind Buy A Life(1.6 with Overpay)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054324087?time=1404543600 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054324087?time=1404691701

1.8 is only a slight outlier because of the unsold 1.7 for 4 weeks. 0.9 is too low, so 1.2-1.7 should be fine.

Additional Proof/Counter-Proof/Constructive Criticism/Feedback is always appreciated.