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Retired, misc hype
Sales
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21346922 - sold for 2 buds + 12 keys = ~2.7 ( http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198022366239?time=1405839600 )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20335903 - was offered with searing trophy + 2 buds for miami yellow belt~5.2 = ~5.2-2 = ~3.2 ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21757282 | http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101828632?time=1407135600 )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21608498 - searing trophy + OP hard counter ~0.7 for DBD sensei ~3.7 + smoking trophy ~1.9 = ~5.6*0,9 = ~5 - 0.7 = ~4.3 counting as 4 due to b/o ( http://imgur.com/SkhERsn )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21848533 - B/O 4 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21566935 - B/O 4 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21721671 - B/O 3 buds
4,3 looks like outlier, downboat atm.
3 b/o is young and bookmarked, the rest supports that the current price is invalid and the suggested is fine.
The current avg price is ~2.7, the suggested is ~3.4.
B/O at 3 is still unsold. 4.3 is definately an outlier
Still? Only 4 days passed
It's been up for 2 weeks+
Sales here are actually 2.5, 2.7, and 4. You will need to show significant offers >3 to convince people that 4 isn't an outlier. The miami belt is outdated and less than 5.2, even at the time of the sale. The guy was selling for 4.5. Adding two buds means that sale cannot be valued more than 2.5.