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4 months outdated
Sale #1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21745218 b/o 2.5 buds
Sold for Kill-a-watt Mann of Reason(2.9 * 0.9 = ~2.6 buds)
Backpack of seller
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089808926?time=1405926000 Before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089808926?time=1407049200 After
Backpack of buyer
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029371596?time=1407049200 Before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029371596?time=1407158315 After
Total: ~2.6 buds. However, seller's b/o is 2.5 buds. Taking 2.5 buds as price.
Invalid sales
Sale #2(Using this to fix the range of phosphorous glengarry bonnet. Not using this.)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21745640
Traded this + Steaming Janissary Ketche for Phosphorous Glengarry Bonnet
Sale #3(Complex)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18969302
Sold for Titanium Tyrolean Stormy Storm + Memory leak Gym rat + Nuts n Bolts One-Man Army
Current seller
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21295381 b/o 2.3 buds
A couple of other sales that seem to be about consistent with your range:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18902196 - seems to have sold for TW fighting fedora
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20441400 - seems to have sold for a stormy robo tyrolean + m. leak gym rat
Given the current b/o, I think your range is about right. Again, thanks to you and Derpeh for all your help with these hats.