Suggestion: Cloudy Moon Towering Pillar of Hats at 228–266 keys

Price Suggestion

~400 keys

moon

68 votes up

10 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Fri, 08 Aug 14 14:35:32 +0000 by polar.

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Comments

Practicing my high-tier suggestions.

SALES:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20300579 Quicksold for 11 pure (10 buds + 20 keys)

Histories;

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2680179617,135,5

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095437978?time=1402729200

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095437978?time=1402815600

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20125268 Sold for Sulph. Bomber (13.8) + DBD Barnstormer (2.4) + Planets Brigade (Outdated at ~1, mini at 1) (And the brigade's not duped, Twig Mirror bought it BACK (see mini)(Not that it matters))

(13.8 + 2.4 + 1) * 0.9 = 15.48 (seller had B/O of 14 - =14)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2680179617,135,5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2559911039,671,5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2669188970,988,5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2664369463,105,5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21799029 B/O of 12 (young, but seller is relisting repeatedly)

Brigade mini:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21772418 B/O of 17 keys (2 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/425252 Sold for Smoking Cosa (~1.3, seller valued it at 1.2 as evidenced by follow-up B/O)

1.2 * 0.9 = 1.08 (rounding to 1.1)

Histories:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2829565132,105,5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2829565123,459,5

17 keys is near enough 0.9...

Using 0.9 - 1.1

Hmmm. I'm not exactly happy with this but I don't see what else there is to do.

Let it ride, I guess.

The hat in the first sale has traded 4 times since jun 1, no other sales we traceable? Also what's the justification 11 pure is a quicksell? His b/o was ~13.

Imo setting the range based on the 14 that includes all 3rd gens is inaccurate. An exta 3 buds overpay sounds about right for 3rd gen, if not more.

Lastly, If you offered the 12 bud b/o guy 11 I bet he would take it.

11 is a quicksell because it sold quickly for a low denomination of pure. Correct me if I'm wrong but that's the definition of a quicksell :P

Lots of people consider robo-effects stable these days (they're exempt from the 'two sales to price' rule now, for example) I'm not so fussed on overpay on that. If it were a robo-gibus or something I'd understand, but I think this is okay.

~~Planets Brigade is not a 3rd Gen~~

Lastly, I'd love to, but I can't build a suggestion around a 'I bet'.

Agreed. 14 seems high, especially considering the b/o on the sulph bomber was 13 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20041404. Valuing it at 13.8?

Also, I'm not sure about that trade. In the sulph bomber trade, it says he was offered the moon tower and he rejected it. You are saying the bomber guy added 2 hats on top? I think that sale is wrong.

EDIT: You mixed them up. It was brigade + barnstormer + tower for the bomber, not the other way around. That sale is probably 10-11 given the b/o on the bomber.