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Gonna try this again.
"quicksold" aces bomber for 3 buds http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21257247 dropped from 4 buds http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21225584
Sold for a max- ~3 Bp Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198023528239?time=1405666800
Bp After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198023528239?time=1405753200
Selling for a max + 10 keys- ~3.5 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21377994
Looking for 68.97 euroes=$92.82/$2.5=~37 keys=~2 buds http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21456755
Sold for a Steaming Ballcap + GE Beret + Smoking Trilby http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21267744 All Prices unupdated but... 1.1 + 1.4 + 2.3 *.9=4.32 outliar?
Sold for max + 9 keys: Backpack before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086357276?time=1405753200
Backpack after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086357276?time=1405839600
if 3 is quicksale, why is it in your range?
first sale sold within a day therefore a quicksale
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21737616 - sale of at least 4 in value (offered, so no overpay)
Your range is low here. As you have suggested yourself, 3 might be a quicksell. Perhaps 3-4 would work, though value might really be closer to 3.5-4 or 4 flat. You'll need to do some more digging for sales.