Suggestion: Stormy Storm Horrific Headsplitter at 49.4–60.8 keys

Price Suggestion

~38 keys

stormy

327 votes up

61 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Thu, 28 Aug 14 13:53:35 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

#Mischype

SALES:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21006948 Sold + Level 1 Max (2.8) for Sunbeams Baker (8.3)

(8.3 * 0.9) - 2.8 = 4.67 (rounding to 4.7 - outlier)

Histories:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2799032955,291,5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2751410895,162,6

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2774085834,107,5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20931256 Sold + Level 1 Max (2.8) for DBD Ballcap (5.5, see suggestion) + 1 bud

Okay, this math gets a little complicated.

(5.5 * 0.9) + 1 = 5.95

5.95 - 2.8 = 3.15 (rounding to 3.2)

Histories:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2741055073,291,5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2741886205,162,6

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21006925

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19927110 Sold + 2 buds 7 keys (~2.3) for PE Noble (5.4)

(5.4 * 0.9) - 2.3 = 2.56 (rounding to 2.6)

Histories:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2799032955,291,5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2718387133,137,5

Let it ride.

so much for being conservative

dat drop tho

One got offered a Blizzardy Tc and sweets,i suppose you can call the both valid sales outliner and the 4.7 appears to be the valid sale

naw,that would be too logical

Well your sale one, it was offered http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20634318. So no overpay required. Making that ~5.5 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21394275 Sold for Strange Specialized killstreak Australium Scattergun + 5 keys. Sold within a day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21005084 Sold for Memory Leak Crone's Dome(7.1 buds * 0.9 = ~6.4 buds)

Staying neutral on this one. Sales are very inconsistent.

Crone's definitely an outlier, there's B/Os at 5.5 on the market. The PE Sale had a B/O at 4, that's where I'm drawing the line for outliers. I think that's reasonable enough :3

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21439375 scorching jeepcap = 5.8, http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20524860 no overpay

Not sure, sales are all over the place.

Hmm. I would parrot my 'PE sale hat a B/O of 4' rhetoric, but that's beginning to not hold water.

Well, it's in your hands now, mods, I've done all I can do here :3

gifted

oh you're right.. mini suggestion time

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21910717 duped harvest jeepcap.. I don't even want to bother making a mini suggestion for that

Sale should still be 4+

Seems like one more popped up on the market http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22214878, looks he got both for a blizz brown bomber

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021598055?time=1408863600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021598055?time=1408777200

Not sure who offered.. but this sale is either either lowend proof or an outlier

Sales at 2.5/outlier(blizz brown bomber) , 2.6(noble), 3ish(scatter), 3.2(ballcap), 4+(jeepcap), 5.5(baker), 6.4(crones), with current b/o's at 5 and 5.5 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22214878 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22222281

This may be close, I'm just iffy using slightly bulk sales as the lowend on a steep drop. Another mod can deal with this

all you other mods are lazy...

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22276779

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197984465336?time=1409036400

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197984465336?time=1409122800

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065138598

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065138598?time=1409036400

Looks like kaw drill hat + ~1 bud? Can't confirm any of the keys/buds, backpack values changed $15-20 which makes a bit of sense if the sweets are a bud

drill isn't outdated, but it needs an update

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22127695 had b/o 3

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21708717 b/o 3.1

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22277520 b/o 1.5, young

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21258204 b/o 3.1

Could you make a more accurate mini suggestion for it?

Appreciate the diligence.

The high end is almost certainly too low. Too many sales and offers in that range for them to all be called "outliers" probably.

A little support on the sweets: Minimum 5 keys on the KaW trade, serious quicksell at less than three hours posted. Could be more, but probably not too much. The user was liquidating their backpack for pure (which they estimated at >5 keys in the drill trade http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22279117 ), and has been continuing to flip furiously to keys, so probably hasn't traded away any pure that came in with the drill.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2914883057,5021,6

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2914883085,5021,6

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2914883093,5021,6

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2914883078,5021,6

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2914883049,5021,6

Anyway, the headsplitter sold for that within 3 hours, so that's a pretty solid evidence for a quicksale at >3, looks like. The user who posted the KaW Drill trade for 1.5 has been offline for 7 of the 11 hours it's been posted, so that should be a quicksell when they get back.