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Counter-manipulation:
SALES:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21546047 Sold for Smoking Noble (Outdated at 1.4, mini at 1.3)
1.3 * 0.9 = 1.17 (rounding to 1.2)
Histories:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2855636951,601,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2825228576,137,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21521505 Sold for 20 keys (1.2)
Histories:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994711571?time=1406617200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994711571?time=1406703600
Noble MIni:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/605174 Sold for 24 keys (~1.4)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20813421 Sold + Bubbling Fro (14.5 keys, = 0.75 buds) for O.Fire Phantom (2.7)
(2.7 * 0.9) - 0.75 = 1.68 (rounding to 1.7)
Histories:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2442438954,137,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2726616490,47,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2730046043,337,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21684070 Sold for Blizzardy Snaggle (~1) + sweets (0.3)
1.3 * 0.9 = 1.17 (rounding to 1.2)
Histories;
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2838734774,137,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2838734717,229,5
1.7 is above quite a few B/Os, using 1.2-1.4.
Let it ride.
This is way better than the other suggestion with a splendid range of 1.9-1.9 buds:
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/53e748744cd7b85e238b463f
Upboat :D