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Hello, hoping that I do a good job of this, apologies if I don't.
I know of two sales that have happened recently
Sale 1:
Sold for Orbiting Fire Soldier's Slope Scopers + sweets (~1.8 buds) taking the middle value and adding the sweets.
http://imgur.com/dITMAwQ
Sale 2:
Sold for Dead Presidents Crocleather Slouch + sweets (~2 buds)
http://imgur.com/w0WEFZ8
Please add to discussion and vote accordingly
I can provide the accounts if needed
Did you remember to apply overpay?
Your first sale:
You can't just price the Strange Professionel Killstreak Bat like that, you need to make a mini suggestion for it. You also need to apply overpay to the items if they weren't offered on outpost.
Your second sale:
With overpay that would be 1.9 Buds not 2, though you are allowed to make that sort of rounding I believe.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21867761 Wants 1.5 Buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21872035 Wants 1 Bud + 5 keys (QS)
Your only valid sale is the second one, and that is probably too high, and I haven't checked if theese sales are more than 3 montsh old.
(1) I only really priced the S. Prof. K. Bat at 1 keyish, you are right though. Soldier's Slope Scopers is worth 1.5-2.0. I just took the higher end of the rounding to assume that it would calculate right with the overpay.
(2)At the time that it was sold, buds were worth 16 and the taunt was worth 2 keys? So I took that into account as well.
I think you should check the timing before you do comment though, if you are going for that attention to detail.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21152309 You offered the Croc, not sure if you still need overpay even though you negotiated.
And when there is one at the market at 1.5 Buds, you should wait to see if that quicksells, otherwise theese sales could be outliers(atleast the one at 2 Buds).
I would like to think that it does require sweets calculation as the items traded bought the value up 0.2 buds.
The DP Crocleather was sold with the understanding that the price was 1.8.
If the price of the Crocleather needs to change then that's for that item's page.
I'm not sure but I think mods will only accept if there is a diffrence is 0.1 or lower, but 0.2 is so close that it might be just close enough.
Huh, well I was going to rant about overpay but then I looked at the sweets and things seem to add up. However the sellers would disagree with this rise. The two are both young so there's every chance they could actually end up as quicksells so keep an eye on them.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21872035 1 bud + 4 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21867761 1.5 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21268657 3 buds, 3 weeks (really proves nothing if its unsold at twice the old price)
(1) Is a quicksell, according to the rules, they are not allowed to be used in suggestion.
(2) Fine evidence of unsold, I feel like, it's young and may find a seller, I feel like the price is just standard backpack.tf price, it probably would rise if the price rose first.
(3) That is my own trade, I have the intention to keep the price high as I am a Cloud 9 Collector, that means that I won't sell unless I have considerable overpay
A quicksell is only invalid proof if it actually quicksells. Window is usually about 48 hours though for a rare and/or expensive hat it can be feasibly extended by a few days. Both of the sellers I give are young so yes, there is every chance they'll sell sometime tomorrow and you can mark them as outliers. I don't think a range of 1.5-2 would be out of the question given your sales though.
Also, you need to provide a mini for professional items. Community market is pretty good for that and the bat is about 2-3 keys so the price you give for the slope sale is pretty accurate but keep that in mind if you ever plan on doing more suggestions. http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Bat
Yes I agree with you.
Hopefully some more sell so there is more evidence but this is the best that I have at the moment.
I don't want to exactly be pricing thing on stuff that isn't selling rather on the stuff that has sold.
Thank you for the advice. Yes I did look at that and assumed the range would be around 1-2 keys. That's why I took the higher rounding point as it was a low key amount wouldn't of affected the bud range.
Appreciate your time :D
Usually when you see someone with no accepted suggestions try and raise a third gen unusual they own it's being done by a moron with no evidence and mostly opinions to raise the price. You have evidence and you seem to already understand some of the finer points of pricing unusuals such as using item prices at time of sale (though buds were 18, not 16). I've dug up another sale though so between this and the unsolds right now 1.4-2 is where you should be setting the price. You don't have a bad suggestion, just blame other people for selling for less.
Sold for Miami Nights Raincatcher (~1.4) no sweets could be discerned
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20000998 (Mullet)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20552195 (Raincatcher)
The one that is currently selling his for 1.5 Buds has listed it multiple times for that, 2 Buds is definetely too high for this.
Both the quicksell links that were provided by others look like they sold. The 1.2 bud trade went in less than a day (based on last bump), and the 1.5 bud listing went in something less than five days (again based on last bump), was sold for what appears to be a Stormy Storm Big Chief, possibly plus sweets. That might potentially be a series of interrelated accounts, though, so take that with a grain of salt.
Looks like a better range for this would be more like 1.5-2.0 buds, though, since buyouts of 1.5 buds are common.