Straight to the proof.

SALES:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20329770 Sold for Aces Cloud Crasher (Outdated at 2.6, mini at 2.25)

2.25 * 0.9 = 2.025 (rounding to 2)

Histories:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2722728159,615,5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2692032172,30071,5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20458746 Sold for Searing Dragonborn (3.2)

3.2 * 0.9 = 2.88 (rounding to 2.9, but, Seller's B/O of 2.8, = 2.8)

Histories:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2722728159,615,5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2722728185,517,5

Crasher Mini:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21847647 B/O of ~2.5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21233982 Sold for 2 pure (Possible quicksell)

Conservatively putting at 2-2.5.

Let it ride.