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1 year outdated
Sale #1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21908799 b/o 4 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21944237
Traded this + 1 bud for Cloud 9 Head warmer(4.45 buds)
Backpack of seller
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073175370?time=1407875902 Before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073175370?time=1407913200 After
Backpack of buyer
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098125861?time=1407826800 Before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098125861?time=1407913200 After
Total: ~3.5 buds
Invalid sales
Sale #2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21960770 b/o 4.5 buds
Can't really identify sale
Sale #3(Using this to price mann of reason cloud 9)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21862059
Sold for Mann of reason cloud 9(not priced) + 10 keys
Sale #4
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21906109 b/o 4.5 buds
Sold for Demonflame Outdoorsman(Not priced)
Pending Suggestion
Cloud 9 Head warmer
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/53ec1d3f4cd7b8ac3d8b4bc1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19426784 - your second link sold for 3 pure to a quickbuyer (?). Not really sure if I can call it that, but I don't think it should necessarily be included in the range.
There were more sales for the mann of reason, so that should be used to price this instead of the other way around. That would come out to close to this as well.