Suggestion: Burning Flames Tartan Spartan at 304 keys

Price Suggestion

~164 keys

burning

105 votes up

20 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Tue, 02 Sep 14 14:46:46 +0000 by polar.

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Comments

Resubmitting due to mathematical error in previous suggestion.

Half the Tartans aren't priced, so let's start by changing this one.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2847484122,30106,5

1:1, which makes this easy.

Sold by the unboxer:

Burning Tartan (?) + Peace Gilded Guard (4.5) + Orbiting Fire Practitioner (1.65) --> Secret Moon Samur-Eye (24)

24 - 1.65 - 4.5 = 17.85 x 0.9 = 16.065 ≈ 16

Next sale:

Beams Cloud Crasher (?) + Hearts Bicorne (5.1) --> Burning Tartan (?)

Luckily, I have what the Crasher was bought for.

http://i.gyazo.com/9f4bb658b9fcec6d74b8687607521f40.png

That's a Secret Moon Buddy (6.5) and a Roboactive Pot (4.5) + 2 buds pure.

Sold for Beams Cloud Crasher (11*0.9 + 2) + Hearts Bicorne (5.1*0.9) = (9.9+2) + 4.59 = 11.9 + 4.59 = 16.49 (rounding to 16)

Last sale:

Burning Tartan(?) + P. Fetti Bicorne (1.2, outdated.) + Burning Elfin (5.3) --> Searing Noh (29, outdate.)

Prices on the Noh and the P. Fetti Bicorne are outdated, so this trade is considered an outlier. The Noh also has no recent trackable sales.

Conclusion:

An appropriate price for this item would be 16 buds.

It was sold again 4 hours ago:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22150357 (sold for Burning Hermes + Hearts Norman + Disco Executioner + Fountain of delight "i see you")

Not sure what this adds up to as there are a couple of hats unpriced / outdated. But might be an outlier as well.

I think sales are way too discrepant for this to be priced yet. Also, you calculated overpay on the valid sale wrong, it seems.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21804340 added a peace glided guard (~4.5) and an o. fire practitioner (~1.6) for a secret samureye (~24)

24-(4.5+1.6)*0.9 = ~18.6 ≈ 19 buds

offered on the sam, so overpay on the offered hats instead - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21950390

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21974063

Sold for a Hearts Bicorne (~5.1) + Beams Cloud Crasher

Based on [url]http://i.gyazo.com/9f4bb658b9fcec6d74b8687607521f40.png[/url], Crasher is ~12 which would make the sale ~16 buds.

I reckon this is the actual outlier.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21986783

Added a P. Fetti Bicorne (~1.2, unupdatable) and a Burning Elfin (~4.8) for a Searing Noh

x-6, x being Noh's value after overpay. Noh has recently received offers ~35 ([url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22027708[/url]), so this sale is likely 26+

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22150357

Sold for a Burning Hermes (~7.5) + Hearts Stormin' Norman + Disco Executioner (~9.9) + Fountain of Delight I See You (~1.7)

~19 + x, x being the norman's value (no other sales besides this one, currently on market with a buyout of 7) - sale is likely 24-25

Well, the pure b/o was 16 on your 19 sale. But still, that's 2 sales at 16 and two that are definitely 20+. Hard to say which is the outlier. Best to wait for more sales here.

You should round 16.49 to 16.50 buds,just cant round 9 keys.

Over 10 buds you round to the nearest bud.

"The following suggested approximations are guidelines and NOT rules" from the cheat sheet, section about rounding

And I used them as a guideline. 16 is fine.

on hats greater than 10 buds the margin of error is considered to be +/- 1 bud so 16 is perfectly fine.

Wow it just got sold for a Burning Hermes + Hearts Norman + FoD I See You + Disco Exe... that's like ~30 o.o

Seems about right. The 30 bud ish sale seems like an outlier compared to previous sales. I also added 3 keys to the sale