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Needs a drop.
GBH GENT RIDES ONCE MORE
Year old price
OUTPOST OVERVIEW:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22026802 B/O of 3 (4 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21153234 B/O of 3 (1 month)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19247643 B/O of 3 (4 months)
And that's all of outpost, by the way.
SALES:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21298284 Sold for C.Heart Snaggletooth (Outdated at 3.5, mini at 2.5)
2.5 * 0.9 = 2.25 (rounding to 2.3)
Histories:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2829270937,253,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2785923422,229,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20565026 Sold for DBD Spartan (2.5)
2.5 * 0.9 = 2.25 (rounding to 2.3)
Histories:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2829270937,253,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2718729065,340,5
Snaggle Mini
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21898632 Sold for 51 keys (~2.7, but B/O of 2.5 pure)
=2.5
Using 2.5. Nothing on the market has an offer of more than that.
Let it ride.
Found another sale, GBH Handle + a harvest prancers for an antifreeze fez
Sellers bp before:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057088324?time=1406617200
After:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057088324?time=1406790000
Using current prices (which are outdated for the fez and prancers) that comes to
9.3 - 5.7 = 3.6 buds * 0.9 = 3.2 buds
The fez is super out of date (>1 year) but based on this http://backpack.tf/vote/id/53c9dc214cd7b8c0478b4568 its value is probably closer to 7.5 - 8 buds
The prancers is also a year out of date, and is probably due up for a drop.
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5395ebda4cd7b8356d8b467b
Giving it a rough value of 5 buds
7.75 - 5 = 2.75 * 0.9 = 2.5 buds, supportive of your range given the wiggle room with the values of the fez and prancers
Thanks very much man ^^
I ignored this sale because it was 'complex', but as it turns out it's pretty good support :P