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Resuggesting with some new information about the previous low end sale to make it an outlier.
Sold for 13 (mix of buds and keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20737536
Sold for Smoking Kiss King (~5.1) + Disco Beat Down Samur-Eye (~4.8) + Cloud 9 Conjurer's Cowl (~2.4) = ~12.3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21599837 (Crones)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19339527 (Kiss king)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19734387 (Cowl)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21115219 (Samur-Eye)
Sold alongside a Nuts and Bolts Stash (~2.6) for a Spellbound L'Inspecteur(~3) and a Purple Energy Reggaelator (~4.7 see http://backpack.tf/vote/id/53ee76574cd7b86d7b8b4a77 ) + ~2 keys in sweets = ~5 for Crones, outlier
http://prntscr.com/4eq8my
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22010084 (Crone + Stash)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22028435 (Reggae + L'Inspecteur)
Offered alongside 2 buds (and sold for) a Stormy 13th Hour Reggaelator (~10) = ~8 for Crone, outlier
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21930646
http://i.imgur.com/mN5RMG2.png
Mini for C9 Cowl: = ~2.7
Offered on (and sold for) a Burning Flames Football Helm (~2.7 buds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20958792
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067973530?time=1404630000 (None of the currency afterwards matches up, not even with the exact time stamp from item history, so nothing was likely added)
who would buy this when a burning one is only 200 buds?