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Sale 1: (invalid sale)
Sold with 1 buds + Undisclosed amount of cash for Hearts BoA (buyer wanted to keep it private)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21711467 & http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21833029
http://i.imgur.com/bPKdg8X.png
Sale 2:
Sold with 1 buds + Strange Gunslinger (1.5*0.9=1.35) for a Burning Flames Rack
? + 1 + 1.35 = 19.5 → ? = 17.15 (rounding to 17)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21906922 / http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21598840
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037308394?time=1407999600
Sale 3:
Sold for Scorching Flames Fro (7.2) + Strange Festive RL (1.75) + Cloudly Moon Bonnet (5.3) + Beams Private Eye (4.2) = 18.75*0.9 = 16.875 (rounding to 17)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21681571
Sale 4:
Sold with Vintage Lumbricus Lid (6.25*0.9) + Hearts Samur-Eye (5.7*0.9) for Hearts BoA (28)
? + 5.625 + 5.13 = 28 → ? = 17.245 (however, buyout was 15, so pricing at 15)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22091442 / http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21824967
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048335259?time=1408518000 → http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069527288?time=1408431600
Sale 5: (invalid: duped sale)
Part of a complex sale involved a Beams Stash, etc.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21329290 - http://backpack.tf/item/277203542
Sale 6: (invalid: duped sale)
Unsure what Polar sold his for, but it looks like he has another duped on in his backpack again.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21679463 - http://backpack.tf/item/277203542
Notes:
All recorded sales are from July 24 and onwards (only recording sales after it became a misc)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22114139 - B/O 15
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21329290 - rejected offer of 13 pure on a duped one
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21499603 - rejected offer of 13 pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21374981 - rejected offer of 13 pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21548678 - rejected offer of DBD BoA (~15)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21374981 - rejected offer of burning trilby + searing rack + max's head (~15)
Conclusion:
It is extremely evident that this hat is in need of an update. Even though some recent sales involved duped ones yet still managed to sell for more than backpack.tf's current price, I only recorded the CLEAN sales and added in the duped sales solely for the purpose of support-proof.
Feel free to support/counter my suggestion!
For your sale 6, it was duped beams stash for duped beams rack + beams guad
Oh thanks for that! Well, if we are taking backpack.tf prices even if those hats were duped, it'd be:
Sale 6:
Sold with Beams Guadalajara (5.5*0.9) for a Beams Stash (24)
(?*0.9) + 4.95 = 24 → ? = 17.145 (rounding to 17)
This sale is definitely still around the ~17 buds mark and fits in my range perfectly. Although it might not be valid due to two of the hats involved in the sale being duped, it can still be used as proof to support my high end.
Well, personally, I valued the stash at 20 and the guad at 5 and took the rack as ~15. Anyways, all hypotheticals. Doesn't really matter since the rack is duped, though when I purchased it I thought it was clean. I think the copy came out of a private bp since it was listed as clean before and I didn't see a duped copy elsewhere.
Ahh, but even so that sale would still support the low end of my price range. Again, its not counted as a valid sale because its duped, but I guess it still shows that duped sales sell for approximately the same amount or slightly less than clean ones.
Sale 7:
Sold for Ghosts Rack (10*0.9) + Vivid Party Phantom (4.85*0.9) + Australium Medi Gun (1.65*0.9) = 9 + 4.365 + 1.485 = 14.85 (rounding to B/O of 15)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22219418
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031350787?time=1409036400 → http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083234925?time=1409036400