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Logically, this should be the most expensive effect.
Sale 1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21645140 - Sold for Terror-Watt Chieftain's Challenge (2*0.9 = 1.8 buds)
Sale 2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21471144 - Sold for 2 buds
Sale 3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20648800 - Sold for Stormy Storm Otolaryngologist's Mirror (1.3*0.9 = 1.2 buds) (Outlier)
Sale 4
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21886012 - Sold for 4.7 buds (Outlier)
Sale 5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21475276 - Sold for Sunbeams Tippler's Tricorne (Outlier)
Sellers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22113889 - 2 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22074210 - 2 buds
Unused sales
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20886640 - Complicated sale
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20720257 - Unconfirmed
Feel free to counter / support my proofs.
Looks good to me. You're really getting the hang of this unusual lark :P
Normal suggestions are too easy for me.
Those are much more satisfying to do :3
I think it's just experience, I personally find regular suggestions much more difficult XD
Sale 4 looks like it was 4.7 buds for both the tricorne + the Gutenkutterharen
Sale 5 Both the gutenkutterharen and tricorne went from Bounther to lonewolf. Maybe they where both sold for the scorching bonnet?
The rest of your proof is solid. Upvote!
P.S. Always double check those histories so you have the complete story. Keep up the good work on these hat prices.