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Hiya!
It's only 8 Months Outdated. Haha, only.
Such a beautiful thing about to get Shrekt. http://prntscr.com/4g314s
Sellers -
http://prntscr.com/4fuhuv
x1 @ 16 Keys
x1 @ 18 Keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22166307 15 Keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22112372 16 Keys
http://prntscr.com/4fufp3 I bought it for 11 Keys + 16 Refined. Total = 13.18 Keys
http://prntscr.com/4fug5b Sold it for a BMOC + Bread Box + Robo Parts. Total = 16.13 Keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21608704 Sold for a Bubbling Tippler's Tricorne: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21611191
Looks like they 1:1 and Bubbling Tricorne's after overpay is 12.6 Keys which rounds up to 13 Keys.
Mini for Tricorne -
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21756757 Sold 1:1 for a Bubbling Pith Helmet (12.6 Keys).
I added and messaged the previous owner. http://prntscr.com/4g2wzq Sold for 15 Keys Pure.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21711837 Sold for a Purple Confetti Hound Dog (After Overpay: 1.08 Buds / 20.5 Keys) Outlier.
Sale at 12.6 Keys and at 15 Keys. 12.6 rounds up to 13 Keys. Range is 13 - 15. Mid range is 14 Keys.
Any Feedback / Help is nice!
Unless you can find more sales for 16 Keys I would remove 16 Keys completely.
Especially considering theese trades:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22166307
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20390481
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22217476 "Quickselling"
cranwell was quickselling his (well as he said it "selling under price")
13-16 is an already big drop
2/3 of those links are young also
It was way under BACKPACK price. Backpack price was 8 months old.
There are two sales at 13, and one at sixteen. There are several B/Os below 16.
Young or old, the logical conclusion is that 16 is an outlier.
Might be young but the price is in the range.
What would the range be then?
13 would be my answer, unless there are more sales at a higher price