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Since this doesnt have a price yet but several have already been unboxed and sold, why not get a decent price down for this thing.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22097992
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22052559 Sold for a Aces High Front Runner (2) + Sweets
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22105946
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22092031
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22064723 And this one has sold for a Flipped Trilby P.Fetti (1.6 / outdated) and currently has a C/O of 2 buds and 2 keys pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21544112 Steaming Rifle Mann (1.8)+ Battin a Thousand Skill Gotten Gains (1.5)
Overpay and where does range come from?
Range comes mainly from the offers listed on OP and what most of the owners are willing to take. It doesnt seem like any will sell under 2 buds but 3 is close or is their B/O. I thought 2.-2.5 would be a reasonable estimate of what both the owners and the buyers would be willing to pay/take.
I wouldnt price a hat on offers. Gotta wait for sales.
where does your range come from?