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#BlameItOnTheHype
First currency suggestion!
I've never had a bud or anything close
Why do people pay for a short history?
Anyway, proof
Classifieds (as of evening 24 Aug 2014)
<19 x25
19k x76
19k-20k x24
20k x72
>20 x23
Note: trade ages are correct as of when I found them (I have to sleep sometimes).
19 keys
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22236737[/url] -- 1 hr, sold 1+
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22236206[/url] -- 1 hr, "sold 1"
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22235126[/url] -- 2 hrs
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22230230[/url] -- 6 hrs
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22229260[/url] -- 7 hrs
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22228485[/url] -- 8 hrs
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22230027[/url] -- 8 hrs, sold 4+
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22229470[/url] -- 9 hrs, sold 1
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22229260[/url] -- 9 hrs, sold 3+
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22210941[/url] -- 10 hrs
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22227880[/url] -- 11 hrs, sold
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22226797[/url] -- 12 hrs
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22226155[/url] -- 13 hours
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22225331[/url] -- 14 hours
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22226879[/url] -- 14 hrs
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22206701[/url] -- 15 hrs, 2+ sold
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22220814[/url] -- 20 hrs, has an offer
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22218380[/url] -- 21 hrs, 2+ sold
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22185802[/url] -- 1 day
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22213025[/url] -- 1 day
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22194940[/url] -- 1 day
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22206483[/url] -- 1 day, sold 1+
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22181034[/url] -- 1 day, sold 1+
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22204626[/url] -- 1 day, sold 2+
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22188576[/url] -- 1 day, sold 3+
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22193211[/url] -- 1 day, sold 4+
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22197567[/url] -- 1 day, plenty of adds
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22185802[/url] -- 2 days
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22166967[/url] -- 2 days, sold 3+
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22143487[/url] -- 3 days, has an add
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22150201[/url] -- 3 days, sold 1+
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22137324[/url] -- 4 days, sold 1+
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22103315[/url] -- 5 days, "sold 28"
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22002005[/url] -- 1 week, 19 keys + 1 ref
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21934877[/url] -- 1 week, sold 1+
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22077603[/url] -- 1 week, sold 1+
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21950122[/url] -- 1 week, "sold 16"
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21787778[/url] -- 2 weeks, sold out
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21219554[/url] -- 1 month, still getting adds
20 keys
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22217753[/url] -- 4 hrs, sold 1+
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22231946[/url] -- 4 hrs
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22230401[/url] -- 7 hrs
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22198464[/url] -- 1 day
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22197338[/url] -- 1 day, sold 1
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22190835[/url] -- 1 day, "sold 2"
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22212574[/url] -- 1 day, sold 3+
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22166930[/url] -- 2 days
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22167717[/url] -- 2 days
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22184062[/url] -- 2 days
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22170034[/url] -- 2 days, sold 1+
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22163080[/url] -- 3 days
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22138768[/url] -- 3 days, sold 1+
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22140984[/url] -- 4 days, claims to have sold 1
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22124415[/url] -- 4 days
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22138290[/url] -- 4 days
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22109228[/url] -- 5 days
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22108530[/url] -- 5 days
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22117105[/url] -- 5 days, sold 2+
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22084912[/url] -- 6 days
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22045954[/url] -- 1 week, sold 1
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21995235[/url] -- 1 week, sold 1+
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21916743[/url] -- 1 week, sold 1+
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22024709[/url] -- 1 week, sold 2+
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21986553[/url] -- 1 week, sold 2+
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21931826[/url] -- 1 week, sold 7+
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21767448[/url] -- Puddington! 2 weeks old but still getting offers, sold many I'm sure
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21740292[/url] -- 2 weeks old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21869990[/url] -- 2 weeks, sold 1+
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21888924[/url] -- 2 weeks, "sold 3"
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21823255[/url] -- 2 weeks, sold 4+
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21892236[/url] -- 2 weeks (last offer 1 week ago)1, sold 8+
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21105055[/url] -- 1 month (last add 3 days ago)
Buying @ 19 keys -- most buyers are for ~18
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22238098[/url] -- 2 yung
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21915221[/url] -- 1 week
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21893811[/url] -- 2 weeks
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21851891[/url] -- 2 weeks, buying @ 19 & selling @ 20
Also, this guy... [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20383322[/url]
CONCLUSION: They're selling at 20. They're definitely still selling at 19, but 20 is happening enough for a range. With (albeit few) buyers at 19 and some quick sales at 19, 20 is by no means unreasonable.
That being said, this is still my first currency suggestion, and I've still never owned a bud, so if you must tear me to pieces, please do it kindly.
Much love,
Llama
P.S. To the mods: I'm not a yellow belt. One of my suggestions seems to have Y2K'd (it says no one voted on it, even though I got credit on it, and it was accepted right as the month rolled over, I think) and counted twice. Idk. If it could be fixed, I'd appreciate it. Thanks!
misc hype ?
Surprised?
i think it has a very high chance of becoming a misc tho
and da hype about dis becoming a strange part
#miscandstrangeparthypeisnojokeinolie
Alright...Before I begin, let me point out two things.
trade.tf says buds are currently going at 18.8 keys : http://www.trade.tf/
Tf2 finance says buds are currently going at 18.6 keys : http://tf2finance.com/
Backpack.tf has never been ahead of those two sites.
So, they are nowhere on the rise. Now lets go over your links.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22217753 --> Okay, valid
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22231946 --> Did not sell the buds Selling here : http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22237671 Invalid
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22230401 --> Did not sell the bud Invalid
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22198464 --> Did not sell the buds Invalid
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22197338 --> Did not sell the bud Invalid
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22190835 --> Claiming does not mean anything, I can false claim I sold 52, does not mean I did Nevertheless, if he did sell, he sold only 2 in almost 3 days. Invalid
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22212574 --> How can you say he sold 3+? Invalid
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22166930 --> Did not sell any of the buds Invalid
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22167717 --> Have two and did not sell any of the buds Invalid
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22184062 --> Hard to determine whether he sold any or not Invalid
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22170034 --> Doesn't looks like sold any in the past 3 days Invalid
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22163080 --> Selling for 19 keys not 20 Invalid
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22138768 --> Hard to determine whether he/she sold any or not; ongoing trade Invalid
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22140984 --> Sold 1 in 4 days and another still remain unsold Invalid Because if it takes you 4 days to sell 1 bud, that price shouldn't be in the range at all. Counting this as unsold.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22124415 --> Did not sell any of the 3 buds Invalid
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22138290 --> Did not sell Invalid
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22109228 --> 6 days of trying and still did not sell his/her bud Invalid
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22108530 --> 6 days of trying and still did not sell his/her bud Invalid
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22117105 --> Hard to determine, mass seller. Invalid
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22084912 --> Looks like he sold 1 in 1 week? Invalid Because he has two buds at the moment and none of them sold.
Out of all the links you provided for 20 keys, you have at most 2 valid links?
Conclusion : Buds does not need a rise. You provided bunch of unsuccessful sellers at 20 keys and countering yourself.
Selling =/= Sold
20 keys are hardly possible most definitely they are not traded around most to be at the range with 19 keys 19 keys is still the most common trading price
Thanks for the counter-proof. Am I thanking myself or you? I mean to thank you.
Is it possible that item history says it sold and it didn't? I mean, I understand that it could sell and the history says otherwise (i.e. it's owned by the same person even though it's not), but could the history indicate a sold when it didn't sell (i.e. the item history says it belongs to someone else when it doesn't)? Because if you look at the item histories, a number of those did sell.
Read my counter please. I checked backpack of the seller and Original ID and all the possible thing a one can do, before posting this.
Thanks.
No, probs. Beside the counter proof I provided the other two most strongest counter-proof are those two sites I provided above. They are not indicating buds are on the rise at all.
Close this if you don't mind. Pretty much 99% of the links are invalid at 20 keys list and good luck in future suggestions! ^-^
Thanks! If I'm honest, I didn't put in all that work, I was banking on item histories. See what happens when you don't do the work! Well, thanks again for pointing it out. And for the help, I'll keep all that in mind.
Best way to determine whether it sold or not is to check the "Original ID"
Just to let you know, Currency Suggestions require quite a lot of proof. If you would like examples, look at the past accepted suggestions and note how much proof they've had there. Alongside that, we do need some proof of solds. For instance, you could ask the people who sold theirs for 20 keys to give you screenshots of their inventory of them trading it. That would be excellent proof. Right now though, I don't exactly think you have enough proof for a currency suggestion. Also, Proof of Solds, like people selling just 1 bud and their trade closes, etc. would be handy for a suggestion as large as this.
This has a lot of solds for 19 and 20 keys, no idea what you're talking about.
Some more could be contributed, but this is a pretty good starting point to begin with.
Well that's a relief!
I did sell 2 so far at 20 keys. Couldn't fit it all into one screenshot but i've had my outpost trade up for a day or two now and i haven't sold any more than that. so I'm still unsure as to whether 20 actually sells consistently. I think i just got lucky
Browsed a like 70 pgs of trade.tf and found some solds at 20.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22197280
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22204398
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22208327
http://www.trade.tf/trade/483575622
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22210677
http://www.trade.tf/trade/483465424
http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=10242425
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22224293
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22225936
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22228767
Found others listed at 20, but those seemed to be traded off for unusuals/etc, These on the other hand weren't traded for unusuals (99.99% sure) I saw plenty sold at 19 keys, but it seems like 20 keys sells as well.
Good proof, upvote.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22140984 -- 4 days, claims to have sold 1. Yes, i sold one :) Good proof!! Upboat
This was always a misc imo
Upvote