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Ridicilously low demand meets very high supply. Everybody who knows a bit about economics knows what that means.
Proofs from 5 (-1) different websites.
Backpack.tf classified listings
4 x 1.66
plenty 2.00, oldest is 6 days old and still not sold
several 2.33, newest is 5 days old (oldest 6 days) and still not sold
TF2oupost.com
>120 sell offers
4 buy offers, of which 1 is only interested in a special craft #.
3000% supply surplus, holy sheeet!
As most of you know, on the Outpost, hats are usually sold 0.33 over the actual value and bought 0.33 under the actual value.
If not specified otherwise, trades are succesfull.
SELL OFFERS
Heaps of 2.00+ sellers, nowhere close to succesfull. Lots of special craft # offers which I excluded. This is just an excerpt, you can find plenty of other offers too.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22271489 1.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22283690 trade for Reidoonicorn (worth 1.66) or Balloonicorn (worth 2.00)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22256605 2.00 unsold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22273635 2.00 unsold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22285185 2.00 unsold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22314086 2.00 unsold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21967573 2.00 unsold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22291436 2.00
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21961546 2.11
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22209091 2.22 unsold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22159993 2.33 unsold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22163441 2.33 unsold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22219020 2.44 for a lvl100, unsold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22012911 got offered 1.44 and 1.66, wants 2.55 (lol)
BUY OFFERS
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22176011 1.33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22227059 trade for other hats worth 2.00
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20634042 trade for S. FaN + S. Detonator worth 2.00
See? All buy offers are succesfull, most sell offers aren't. Obvious sign for a much too low demand.
TF2TP.com
No matches
TF2WH.com
Overstocked to 120%, 6200whc (1.91)
Trade.tf
Sell offers: http://www.trade.tf/classifieds/search/Sell/Unique/Ze%20Ubermensch/all/All/1
1 x 1.55
1 x 1.77
2 x 2.00
Buy offers: none.
Ergo: BUY trades are always succesful, while SELL strades are usually not. At least not at the current value of 2.00.
Enough proof?
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22366564 - Took me a day
http://goo.gl/UlMX3a
Please BM some trades. Watch how the regularly bumped and online users sell. Because I had no trouble selling for 2 refined. And I see users have no trouble selling above 1.66 as per tradetf
Cherry picking unsolds doesnt look good.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22408207 - Sold. 2 ref
"As most of you know, on the Outpost, hats are usually sold 0.33 over the actual value and bought 0.33 under the actual value."
What???
If they sell at that price is because the buyer feel like that price is fair for the item. Backpack.tf classified listings are just a race for quicksellers to be top of the list. Most of the people hasn't the time to spend for trading so they just want to cash quickly so they can do other things, but that mustn't be taken into consideration if buyers are willing to pay more for the item.
Going back to the actual subject, downvote because not enough proof of sellers at 1.66.
As a hat seller, I can safely say this and many other 2 ref hats are very difficult to sell for that price. You need an impatient buyer for that. As already suggested a 1.66-2 range might have worked better here.
I just sold one yesturday for 2 ref.
I bought one today for 2 ref :'( why am i that unlucky xD
I got mine from timed drop lol. I knew this was going down, I see lots of 1.66-2 ref trades for this.
From your unsolds:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22256605 - very poorly bumped
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22273635 - sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22285185 - sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22314086 - poorly bumped
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21967573 - unbumped for over a week
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21961546 - unbumped for over a week, selling over current price
Conclusion: you have a lot of very sloppy unsolds, 2 of which have sold. Those selling above the current price are irrelevant. With only 2 sellers at your new price (with this one being very poorly bumped: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22283690) I am going to have to say no. At best, a range might work, but a sharp 2 ref to 1.66 drop is not needed right now.
I agree. One sold at 1.33 and one at 1.66 isn't enough to justify 1.66 flat, and you have 3 solds at 2 (or equivalent) and one at 2.11. I'd resubmit as a range.
looks ok upvote i guess
I got a demand, just 2 lazy to search 4 it :J Upvote, nice proof
Upvote. Nice proof and you're one of the better listers I've seen
I unboxed this, Sadly its like the only one I didnt want out of the 4 I coulda had. Agree, cannot sell mine for 2 ref for the life of me
How about making an outpost trade for it, and then bump it. You never made an outpost trade for it.
lol yep... classic complaining he can't sell it when he doesn't have a trade trying to sell it anywhere.
I think that 1.66 is a quick sell price. Someone here noticed that some people sold it for 2 ref. I also see a lot of 1.88 offers(please don't ask me to put link, I've never even listened an items and this is my first comment). I think that a correct price is 1.66-2 ref . for now, I don't vote. I wait for more proofs because you posted a lot of 2 ref unsold and just a bit of 1.66 ref sold. Gladly accepted are positive and constructive feedback :) (and sorry for my English but I'm italian :D)
sold mine for 2 ref : http://imgur.com/Lnp7K2q