Suggestion: Flaming Lantern Human Cannonball at 129.2–146.3 keys

Price Suggestion

~138 keys

lantern

86 votes up

4 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Sat, 30 Aug 14 13:25:03 +0000 by polar.

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Comments

Counter-suggestion :]

credit to orange cat and aaron for the proof :]

Sold with a Max + ~8.4 keys in Sweets for a Cloud 9 Hong Kong Cone + Disco Beat Down Napolean Complex

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21738033

10.5 + 2.3 = 12.7 * 0.9 = 11.4 - 3.3 - 0.4 = 7.7

Sold for a duped KaW Gibus + 1 bud

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22093669

8.1 * 0.82 = 6.6 * 0.9 = 5.9 + 1 = 6.9

Sold for a Harvest Juju

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22186344

7.5 * 0.9 = 6.8

Why * 0.82 on the duped KaW Gibus? Probably need a mini for that and if the value is still ~6.9 buds, 7.7 might be an outlier?

9.8% decrease in value on duped unusuals, as said in the cheat sheet.

I also doubt 10% more is an outlier, especially on a hat this high

That is just a rough guideline. It should not be entirely based upon because different duped unusuals have different decrease in value.

Well, if the 2 sales are so close in value and are more recent than the 7.7 one, it does seem to be making the 7.7 looks a bit like an outlier. Any offers in pure above 7?

' DUPED HATS:

Overall Value Reduction: 9.8%'

the other amounts are just the raw data.

I know, but it doesnt mean that 9.8 % is to be used. Those data only showed that duped hats under 3 buds should no longer need mini but those above still needs it. That is still a work in progress, it is not finalized yet. Therefore, you will still need a mini suggestion for that.

Doesn't 9.8% decrease mean you should multiply it by 0.902? 9.8% = 0.098.

What you're doing is decreasing it by 18%.

Because he's applying overpay as well. But yes, aaron is correct, that's a rough guide. I don't necessarily have an issue with using that for pricing a few duped hats in a sale worth 40+ (like if 10 hats were involved in a trade for a 40+ buds unusual and half were duped, I think that would be a reasonable estimate). But in cases like this where it's 1:1 or 1:2, it should get a proper mini. Still, doesn't matter since that sale is not required for your range.

Je t'adore Dezi; mon peh't chou.

Je t'adore, aussi!