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Well... That's interesting.
SALES:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21421628 Offered + 17 keys for a S.Gunslinger (28.5)
28.5 - 17 = 11.5 keys (rounding to 12 keys)
Histories:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067624143?time=1406012400
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067624143?time=1406098800
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21249348 Quicksold for 15 keys
No overpay, = 15
Histories:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2801558289,30051,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21253825
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21248436 Had B/O of 13 keys
Based on that B/O, I can't help but think that 12 isn't an outlier... and that quickseller was just REALLY lucky >_<12 is an outlier, because, um. Because Polar says so.
Let it ride.