Suggestion: Disco Beat Down Cloud Crasher at 85 keys

Price Suggestion

~31 keys

dbd

182 votes up

40 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Thu, 18 Sep 14 06:08:54 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

U! S! A!

Sale 1

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22143650 - Sold for 2 buds and Archimedes Strangifiers (outlier)

Sale 2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22102646 - Sold with a Haunted Ghosts Batter's Helmet for a Miami Nights Frickin' Sweet Ninja Hood (8.3*0.9 - 2.5 = 5 buds)

Sellers

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22174504 - 5 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22296540 - 5 buds

Feel free to counter / support my proofs.

I would wait for one more sale or at least search for more to further determine an outlier. Offers right now with the current sellers are in the 2-3 bud range.

Although it is an outlier, u wud need at least 2 sales to establish a price if I'm not wrong. So u shud get another sale at the 5 buds range to support this suggestion or to make a range. Also sellers =/=Solds.

I have 2 sales. Outlier is fine, as long as there are 2 valid sales. So I shouldn't get another sale.

And everyone knows sellers =/= solds. I bring sellers as support proof.

outliers aren't valid sales, technically

I did this before actually:

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5405856bb98d88b8088b473e

Mr Giang, The first sale was me buying it from him, saying he was quick selling it around 30-50%, so idk what position am I to say because i'm bad with pricing lel. If it helps I have a collecting offer of 5 buds from Triple.O.Ge.

Its an outliner , so its not determining the price anyway.

Gotcha, thanks!

Having 2 sales, and calling 1 of them an outlier doesn't seem right to me. 1 data point is not enough to make another point an outlier.

The seller's trades are too new to say anything about. Perhaps this hat can wait a while. Downvoted, but I'm sure the sellers / buyers would appreciate seeing this suggestion in the item's stats page even though it's not accepted.

The first sale is sold to a quick-buyer so it should be outlier.

This is fine.

There's essentially 1 sale. The rules may allow it, but it is not fine for me.

If I'm not reading your proof wrong, the same guy who bought it for 5 bud sold it for 2. Perhaps he didn't know how much the ninja hood was worth and valued the ninja around 2.5. It might be a good idea to get in touch with him.

He sold for 2 buds because he needed pure quick (sold to a quick-buyer)

Sold for 2 buds pure and a B.M.O.C + Archimedes Strangifier.

Please tell me it's still a QS, right?

Yes it was a quicksell.

Do u have any proof defining 1st sale to be an outlier? Say, multiple offers at 5+?

Ehm

He sold to a quick-buyer (he even confirmed it above)

Well, I dunno. Currently there are 2 sellers at 5, one is supposed to be "quickselling" it at 5 for one week already.

What is more, I don't think that DBD should be estimated as chiroptera vinenata

C9 is ~3.4, other summer effects even lower

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19991446 - sold for Huntsman knife | Field-tested ~2.4*0,9 = ~2.2 ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21559724 )

Huntsman knife| Field tested, using SCM proof (15% tax excluded, 1 key = ~2.5 SCM $), latest solds:

http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/730/%E2%98%85%20Huntsman%20Knife%20%7C%20Night%20%28Field-Tested%29

-102.36$ = ~40.9 keys = ~2.27 buds

-110.29$ = ~44.1 keys = ~2.45 buds

-110.45$ = ~44.18 keys = ~2.45 buds

-112.33$ = ~44.9 keys = ~2.49 buds (2x sold)

Taking avg of 2.4 buds

It makes a nice range with that first sale and it does makes sense overall.

The "quicksale" looks quite iffy. It took him about 3 days to sell it, what is more in here he was looking only for 4 and then decided to higher the price and "quicksell" it: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22123929 | http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22143650

But in the first sale, it's a quick-sale because he sold it to a quick-buyer ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21909559 ) (he needs quick pure)

Cannot base the price on it.

Well, yea. But maybe that's cos he had no success selling it at 4-5 buds?

It's only 3 days.

You cannot expect a 5-bud hat sold in that short period of time.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073052372?time=1410678000 - sold for 13 in unusuals??? Something is probably off here.

I think this is unpriceable atm. I don't think this is 5 flat in pure. But I'm also not sure if this is 2.2-3. We should wait for more sales.

I will wait for another sale then.