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Sellers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21677038 1 Bud, 1 Month unsold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22362077 17 Keys, young(Got offered 16)
Solds:
Sold with a Stormy Storm Geisha Boy(14 Keys with Overpay) for a Mega Strike I See You(2.2 with Overpay)(1.4 Buds total, Outlier)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070210825?time=1408345200 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070210825?time=1408431600
Sold for a Green Confetti Detective Noir(1.1 with Overpay)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070210825?time=1408813793 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070210825?time=1408863600
Sold for an Orbiting Planets Brim Full of Bullets(1 with Overpay)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080616339?time=1403766000 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080616339?time=1403913947
Sold for a Terror-Watt Magnificent Mongolian(0.8 with Overpay)( http://backpack.tf/vote/id/540704ec4cd7b881208b4760 )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21117225
Seems to have sold for 14 Keys + a RPS Taunt(0.8 Total)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20737780
Considering the sellers at 1 bud and 17 keys, I'll condsider 1.1 as a safe outlier. 0.8-1 should be fine.
Additional Proof/Counter-Proof/Constructive Criticism/Feedback is always appreciated.