This thing is just a reskin of Ellis Cap...

Sale 1

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22350150 - Sold for 2 buds.

Sale 2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22056977 - Sold for a Stormy Storm Vintage Tyrolean (2.1*0.9 = 1.9 buds)

Sale 3

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22029849 - Sold for a Vintage Bill's Hat (1.5 buds) (Outlier)

Sale 4

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21821090 - Sold for an Orbiting Fire Anger (2*0.9 = 1.8 buds)

Sale 5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22077187 - Sold for a Showstopper Taunt: Battin' a Thousand + 2 keys (2*0.9 + 0.1 = 1.9 buds)

Sale 6

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22198222 - Sold for 1.9 buds

Sale 7

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21902397 - Sold for a Green Energy Bombing Run (2*0.9 = 1.8 buds)

Sale 8

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21383120 - Sold for a Smoking Le Party Phantom (2.1*0.9 = 1.9 buds)

Unused sales

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21840504 - Sold for a Terror-Watt Nanobalaclava

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20930307 - Sold for a Searing Plasma Frenchman's Beret

Feel free to counter / support my proofs.