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~22 keys
o.fire
Unusual Modest Pile of Hat Orbiting Fire
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All the modests are going down in price! Welp.


Proof from Outpost at the time of posting:


Finished trades/Solds


Sold for 46 keys: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22283526 ---> Quicksold.


Sold for 50 keys (Unconfirmed): http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22316414

EDIT: This sold for a 3 bud CS:GO Knife.


Was looking for 45 keys: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22181383


Sold for 2 pure:

Bp of seller (before): http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038096695?time=1409209200

Bp of seller (after): http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038096695?time=1409382000

Trade: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21867866

~Outlier.


Sold for a TF2 Logo tyrants:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19974228


Mini for Tyrants:

C/O of 2.5 pure: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22144682

Unsold for 3 buds: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22008144 (2 weeks)

Unsold for 3 buds: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22361683 (4 days)

Conclusion: Considering the unsolds at three buds and the 2.5 buds C/O, I'll assume that it's price is alright at 2.8 buds. Please correct me if I'm wrong.

Therefore, 2.8*0.9 = 2.5 buds sale.


Active trades:


Looking for 3 buds: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22299568 (Unsold 6 days)


Looking for 2.7 buds: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22350208 (Unsold in 4 days)


Looking for 3 buds: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21364171 (Unsold in 1 month. Says he would take 2.5 pure)


Looking for 2.8 buds: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22308347 (Unsold in 6 days)


Looking for 3 buds: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21810479 (Unsold in 1 month)


Conclusion: 2 buds seems like an outlier and 3 buds clearly does not sell. I'm gonna set its price at 2.5 buds flat. I'm basing these off the key sales and the tyrants that clearly sold.


ANY feedback is greatly appreciated. Feel free to support my proof or point out any mistakes I may have made.

    First one is a quicksell, just sayin'

      Yeah, I'm aware. That's why I've added more solds.

        I'd put a little note next to it or the pro suggestors 'll rip you to shreds.

            It sold in less than a day.

              It says the trade was made a week ago, it was then sold on the same day

                Thanks for the info. Would you say the price is alright?

    2 weeks later, some were sold (maybe for 3 ?) - looks like there was some sales higher than 2.5, staying neutral for now

      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22350208 - sale at 2.6 after overpay

      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22299568 - dropped his b/o to 2.5 before selling

      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21364171 - willing to do 2.5

      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22436246 - b/o 2.6


      Close enough