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Not outdated yet, but I found several sales that lower the range / previous suggestion had no overpay calculations anywhere
Sale #1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21806211
I bought this hat for one bud pure, 5 ref, two tour of duty tickets, and about 8 ref in sweets
1 bud + 2.5 keys after overpay = 1.1 buds
http://i.imgur.com/FZ0iPCb.png?1
Sale #2
I sold mine + 5 keys, 4 ref, and some sweets (~4 ref) for a disco beat down german gonzila
1.8 buds * 0.9 = 1.6 buds, - 6 keys= 1.3 buds
http://i.imgur.com/b1N2JxD.png
Sale #3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22376069
Sold for an orbiting fire scotch bonnet + 2 keys
1.1 buds * 0.9 = 1 bud + 2 keys = 1.1 buds
Sale #4
This sale if from the previous suggestion, it still fits in the 2 month time frame
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21174944
Sold for a steaming tossle, seller added 2 keys
1.7 * 0.9 = 1.5, - 2 keys = 1.4 buds
http://puu.sh/az3vm/140d0093b1.jpg
Sale #5
This sale if from the previous suggestion, it still fits in the 2 month time frame
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21237931
Sold for a bubbling drill hat + 8 keys
1 bud * 0.9 = 0.9 buds + 8 keys = 1.3 buds
Other things of note
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21523530 - Was selling for 20 keys pure, not sure if it sold for that much. Turned down 1.4 in unusuals.