Price Suggestion
Time Warp Outdoorsman
Submitted by Evenayn
~92 keys
tw
Unusual Outdoorsman Time Warp
171 votes up
18 votes down
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Comments

expected this to be in the 3-4 buds range :(


1. http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/390340 <<< he sold for a mem leak human cannonball(4) ~3.6 w/ overpay (outlier)

2. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21407918 blizz l'inspecteur (1.1)and 2 keys in sweets ~1.1, overpay already applied

3. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21136625 miami steel shako(1.4)~1.3 w/ overpay


mini on shako(outdated)


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20868047 b/o ~1.5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20248187 b/o ~1.5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22418008 b/o ~1.3

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22134964 cant identify sale

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22143654 quicksold for pure?

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22127779 aces high pampered pyro(1.6)- 1.4 w/ overpay, b/o ~1.1

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22034959 sold in a day for..?

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22004077 can't identify sale

rest are too old, taking 1.4 as price(average)


~


Unfortunately sale 1 is an outlier.

Feedback appreciated

    one rejected an offer of a miami glengarry bonnet, its outdated but surely over the suggested range, i owned one myself but my sale is 7 months old but im pretty sure that the 2nd and the 3rd sale are outliners and you should wait for another sale

      Which sale are you talking about?

          as you can see that guy has little unusual knowledge, he sold this for a blizz l'inspecteur, I mean who would've done that? Maybe he rejected it because he dislikes summer effects? I think current range is fine, I won't support my low/high end with an offer

            exactly ,that's why i don't get why you are suggesting this on outliers :P


              what? I'm not suggesting on outliers

                " that guy has little unusual knowledge"

                " he sold this for a blizz l'inspecteur, I mean who would've done that "


                you said how his reasoning is off. yet you call it a valid sale.


                  No.


                  If I were him I'd have definitely asked for more, but that's what he sold for, I also have another sale around 1.1 which does not make it an outlier.

                    you also have a sale at 3.6 which is like... normal


                    instead of going all black and white. you should use normal reasoning to deduce.... something isn't right there

                      I agree that this effect usually goes for more but we price unusuals on what they sell for, not what they look like

                        sigh...

                        not when it's something stupid like this.


                        you won't get about what i'm talking about till one of your unusuals gets priced stupidly as this


                        edit: by the tempo this is going,in a day there will be enough offers on that guys trade to prove 1.3< are all outliers lol

              i dont think you should support your low/high end with an offer, i just point out that even a offer was higher than the high end which most likely means your range isn't right. I'd wait for the one on the market to sell to see if im right or wrong because the suggested range prices this hat ridicilously cheap

        Its worth noting that the guy he traded the outdoorsman to for the bliz l'inspecteur is marked as a scammer on steamrep for sharking

        http://backpack.tf/u/76561198073517830

          Doesn't seem to be much proof to be honest, one of the traders was very new who sold his for the miami shako and I don't know about the other trader, but I'd say the one you marked as outlier is more likely to be the proper price for this, would need more proof in my opinion.

            Also worth noting, that hat was hijacked at one point

            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21420678

            Hijackers backpack at the time

            http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143403146?time=1406098800


            The hijacker went and transferred the hat to http://backpack.tf/u/76561198069286570 , who is banned for being a hijacker fence.


            This doesn't mean your two sales are invalid, there's just a lot of fishy stuff going on with this hat

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21983784#my


              declined offers of blizz copper + 8/9 keys. ~ 1 bud at least

              dp hive minder which is 1.2 after overpay + sweets

              23 keys - 1.3 roughly


              so yea,obviously the trades done in this suggestion are outliers

              kind of sad how cheap this is.

                HOW IS THIS ONLY WORTH 1 BUD?????????????????????????

                  And people thought that pricing a Scorching Flames Sole Mate at 15 Buds was bad.

                  Upvote, kinda lame to see this being worth as much as Cloud 9 and Terror-Watt tho.

                    I think its best to wait for another sale and determine the outlier

                      All of this is the same hat mate........


                      1. http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/390340 <<< he sold for a mem leak human cannonball(4) ~3.6 w/ overpay (outlier)

                      2. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21407918 blizz l'inspecteur (1.1)and 2 keys in sweets ~1.1, overpay already applied

                      3. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21136625 miami steel shako(1.4)~1.3 w/ overpay


                      Where are the sales with the other 4 TW hats that exist??????

                        Only one has been on outpost, and yeah those are sales for the same hat, what about it?

                          Lulz...There has been more on outpost....Find them.

                            How do you know it?