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Classifieds :
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/?item=Manmelter&quality=11&tradable=1&craftable=1
1 at 2,88 | 5 at 3 | 1 at 3,11 | 2 at 3,22 | 11 at 3,33!
Sellers below 3,33:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22517244 - 2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22512315 - 2,55
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22483515 - 2,66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22491965 - 3
Sellers at 3,33:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22504454
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22517613
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22465858
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22513175
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22506967
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22506753
Unsolds at 3,66 :
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22486386 - 1 day (bp.tf prices)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22442363 - 3 days
Seems like it should be below 3.33 according to your proof.
Not enough proof for a set price below 3.33 and not enough proof to support a range
Sales would help.
sales not needed to lower, the sellers at 3.33 is enough for a drop to 3.33 methinks
Well there are 9 sellers below the price he is suggesting.
classifieds only valid as support, not "main" proof. you also entirely ignored the outpost sellers in your count of sellers below 3.33
Backpack.tf is not based on tf2outpost. Classifieds works perfect since it is proving that there are sellers available below the suggested price.
Sellers below 3.33:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22404998 - 3.11
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22401886 - 3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22442723 - 3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22491965 - 3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22483515 - 2.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22486955 - 2.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22512315 - 2.55
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22517244 - 2
That does not change the fact that sales would help. I don't know why this community keeps thinking that sales do not help when dropping the price when they are in fact always the best proof. Ask any mod.
He's being conservative.