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Sale #1: Sold for an Arcana Pyro’s Boron Beanie + ~2 keys of sweets (2.25 + .1 x .9 = 2.1).
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21981207 – Seller’s trade
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056063859?time=1408950000 – Seller’s backpack before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056063859?time=1409036400 – Seller’s backpack after
Sale #2: Offered with ~2 keys of sweets for a Vivid Plasma Rather Festive Tree (2.95 – .1 = 2.85, rounding up to 2.9).
It’s hard to pin an exact value on the sweets in this trade because I cannot find any sales for a Pro KS Unique Powerjack. However, a Spec KS Unique Powerjack goes for around a key on SCM, so it has to be worth that much at least. If anyone can find any sales for this item, please let me know. It’d only make a minor difference, but still.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22197380 – Buyer’s trade, shows Dome was offered
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069137737?time=1409209200 – Buyer’s backpack before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069137737?time=1409295600 – Buyer’s backpack after
Currently on Outpost:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/search/223448358 – Wants 2.5 pure, but says it isn’t a B/O.
So I’m definitely interested in getting some feedback on this one, especially relating to how I should handle the Powerjack in Sale #2, and whether the quasi-buyout from the current seller should cap the high end. If you can help me out, or have any other constructive criticisms, leave a comment!
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21593951 c9 war pig ~5.7 w/ overpay---b/o ~5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21556510 added a gbh waxy and a sunbeams sole for a ghosts gibus(unpriced)(requires a mini) surely higher than 2-3, b/o ~5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21287690 can't identify sale, b/o 4.5
maybe 2.1 and 2.9 are outliers?
Interesting. The high B/Os don't surprise me (the sales in my range were similar in that regard, though they obviously went for much less). War Pig sale is valid, but the price is nearly outdated and it's gen 3. Pretty sure that drops a fair bit if priced right now, but my guess would be somewhere between 4 and 5, still well north of my range. The more complex sale is probably beyond my ability to correctly assess with my amount of experience in unusual pricing. If you think there's enough discrepant evidence and want to take a shot at counter-suggesting, I'd welcome it.
Not likely given it has been up on outpost for 2.5 buds for 2 weeks now.