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Repwhoring. Most of the proof belongs to Tito.
Not many on the market. Only few sales. Range is based on the sales that took place:
Classifieds:
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/?item=Heavy%20Lifter&quality=11&tradable=1&craftable=1
5 available at 4 keys at the moment of posting this suggestion; nothing else.
Sales:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22632037 3 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22676538 3 keys
http://prntscr.com/4nanbb 4 keys
http://prntscr.com/4o3iyu 4 keys
Selling
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22649194 4 Keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21987595 4 Keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22110183 5 Keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22656460 "Looking for a nice hat"
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22587083 set
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20373174 Offers; highest offer 3.5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22627750 Selling for games
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21973764 set
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22628062 set
3 keys = insta sold
Aren't the 4 keys buys all screenshots of your trade history?
The 3 key sales were both quicksales. 4 flat is a better price
Update: None of the 4 keys sellers have sold;
Seller below 4 keys: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22710825 3.2 keys (3 days old; poorly bumped(but not an argument since there is only one site of sellers))
Only sale so far in the past 5 days:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22759281 2 keys + 5 ref (Outlier I guess?)
Upvote, got mine for 4 keys last week.
Both of your 3 ref sellers sold the item very quickly. 4 ref flat looks better to me.
Ref? You mean keys, right?
I did. Sorry.
Your 3 key sales are quicksales. Downvote due to lack of proof for the low-end. 4 flat is best.
You do realize that the only proof for 4 keys are that the other price suggester bought 2 at 4 keys each and now he tries to sell them at 4 keys AGAIN:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22769729
Also, none of the 4 keys trades were sold in the past 5 days.
You even showed an offer of 3.5 keys which also disproves your low-end.
The offer is 1 month old.
I sold 2 for 4 keys in my offers trade. I'm not going to spend a ton of time looking for it since it's borrowed deep in my trade histories. This was within a month. 3-4 is both a large range and 3 is also based off of sales that happened quick.
EDIT: Take into account how rare these items are and how their demand can spike or drop just as fast as they can to each other. 3 keys is