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My first suggestion, this one looked pretty easy.
http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Mann%20Co.%20Director%27s%20Cut%20Reel
The market should be proof enough by itself. They're being sold on the community market for ~15-20 cents, that's about 2 rec. It fluctuates, so putting a ref as the high end.
Tons of people selling for 0.55-0.66 in the classifieds.
http://backpack.tf/stats/Unique/Mann%20Co.%20Director%27s%20Cut%20Reel/Tradable/Craftable
On outpost:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22805195 - 1 rec each, has a ton
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22817246 - 2 rec each
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22811395 - 2 rec
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22806731 - 2 rec each
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22756894 - A weapon
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22814436 - 0.55
Nope. SCM is supporting proof. Not easy.
Alright then. Don't know why anyone would pay more on classifieds or outpost, though.
Then find the proof for a different range. Successful buyers, sales, etc.
Logic.....
0.66 - 1 ref. Posts proof of 1 rec...
probably should make another suggestion for a more radical drop bruh, but I'll upvote on this one
Might even be too high. Probably closer to 0.66 ref flat now