the chief isnt that big anymore

Classifieds at the time suggesting

http://backpack.tf/classifieds/?item=Big%20Chief&quality=11&tradable=1&craftable=1

1x 3.88 ref

8x 4 ref

1x 4.66 ref

1x 5.33 ref

Keep in mind some of these trades might be poorly bumped

Sellers under 4 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22810654 - 3.44 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22776828 - 3.44 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22773655 - 3.66 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22707688 - 3.66 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22783841 - 3.66 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22757711 - 3.66 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22754468 - 3.66 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22712433 - 3.66 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22338948 - 3.66 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22647423 - 3.66 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22772827 - 3.77 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22720570 - 3.77 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22767261 - 3.77 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22539348 - 3.88 ref

Unsolds at 4 ref/backpack.tf price/more

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22775938 - 2 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22777566 - 2 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22788391 - 2 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22796308 - 1 day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22771658 - 3 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22582316 - 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21744863 - 1 month

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22809968 - 1 day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22806636 - 1 day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22690729 - 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22761261 - 3 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22747471 - 4 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22800280 - 1 day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22777848 - 2 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22188778 - 1 month

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22607263 - 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22555378 - 2 weeks

Anything under 3.66 seems to be quickly sold therefore still keeping it in the range