Price Suggestion
~850 keys
secret
Unusual Noble Amassment of Hats It's a Secret to Everybody
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32 votes down
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Re-suggestion. Already in need of an update after 18 days. #Challengeoftheweek

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22587886 - Sold, along with Smissmas Caribou + S.F. Knife + 11 buds, for Duped Green Energy Team Captain (25-4-1-11=9 buds, offered) {Outlier} http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22742080

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106468645?time=1411542000

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106468645?time=1411628400

** - Team Captain - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22717336 - Sold, along with 2 buds, for Scorching Pyromancers + Green Energy Fed-Fighting Fedora + Purple Energy Beret + Green Energy Hound Dog (28.6 buds) [Offer Value: 25.7 buds] {B/O of 25 buds}

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057487960?time=1411110000

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057487960?time=1411196400

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21714021 - Sold for Burning Voodoo Juju** (15 buds) [Offer Value: 13.5 buds]

** - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22674266 - B/O of 15 buds

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http://i.imgur.com/pyx9nfm.png - Sold for Burning Noble + Max's Head + 1 bud + 14 keys (14.4 buds)

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21396563 - Sold, along with Ghosts Platinum Pickelhaube**, for Anti-Freeze Jefe*** (21-3.1=17.9 buds) [Offer Value: 16.1 buds]

** - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21302795 - Sold for Stormy Storm Executioner (3.1 buds)

*** - http://backpack.tf/vote/id/54290d14ba8d88d9048b4ad4 - 21 buds

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22819155 - Sold for Burning Scout Shako** + 16 keys + Strange Backburner http://prntscr.com/4qdm9k (12*0.9=10.8+1=11.8 buds) {Outlier}

** - http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5424e6e0b98d8817438b48d0 - 12 buds

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22892422 - B/O of 15 buds

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TL;DR

Sales at: 9, 12, 13.5, 14.4 and 16 buds

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That's all folks!

    Following from what Jordan said, if 12 is an outlier, 16 is also an outlier.

    13.5-14.5 might be better.

    why is 16 not an outlier?

    http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22892422 - 15 B/O

    im going to call 16 an outlier.

      Give me a sec whilst I find more sales.


      EDIT: Just realised I squeezed every sale I can on this. I'll wait for the current seller to sell his and another Voodoo Juju to sell because I was adviced in my previous suggestion to price the Juju on 15 instead of it's current price, 18.8, 16.9 after overpay

      Ah. This makes things clearer for the jefe. Looks like the range here is fine at 12-15 and that the jefe should be priced based on this instead of the other way around. The hat with more data points should always be used to price the hat with fewer data points.

        wow that second sale