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Needs a bump!
(This only includes clean hats and hats that have prices. I am not including trades that are year old etc.)
Sellers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22421832 B/O: 11
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22930265 B/O: 11
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23013347 B/O: 12
Sold:
PE AA, 4 Buds and 11 Keys, and 30 craft hats.
http://i.imgur.com/2M2NGAs.png
http://i.imgur.com/JBkhQwF.jpg
PE AA im rounding to 6.
Selling for 6.5 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23090146
Selling for 7 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23073034
Also the 30 craft has will be adding to the 11 Keys to make it another bud.
So 5.4(including overpay)+ 5= 10.5 (rounded.)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21886562 selling for 10
It is duped.
Ohh ok sorry :)
I dont think your mini is enough to prove that its worth six. Youd need to find at least one sale above the outdated price, and B/Os would only help to lower an outdated price for a mini.
The craft hats are also closer to 4.5 keys, but youd need overpay on that, so its really 4 keys worth
So that end adds up to 4.9 buds.
Find at least one sale for the PE AA, factor in overpay, and then add 4.9 to get a more accurate price.
The last suggestion for the PE AA is only 3 months old, which isn't that old. And it would be ~5.3 after overpay there which would bring the sale to 10.3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21587492 - sale at 8 pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22421832 - sale at 10 pure
Even if you think 8 pure is an outlier, this will need a range given the 10 pure sale. 10-10.5 should be fine