Updating this for the Dead Pres. Blokes Suggestion

Sale #1

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22588064

Aces wetworks + 2 keys for a c. bubbles coppers hard top

1.25 buds – 2/17 keys = 1.13 buds *0.9 = 1 bud

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068250272?time=1410850800 >

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068250272?time=1410937200

Sale #2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22233619

Gifted stormy storm cold killer (1.5 buds) for a Miami tin topi (outdated at 1.3 buds)+ aces wetworks

Buyer’s trades:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22107066 > http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22359865

This trade is definitely an outlier, even though the topi is outdated the value of the wetworks according to this trade is 0.3 buds

Sale #3

Sold for a nuts reggaelator (15 keys, 14 keys after overpay) - Outlier

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109063212?time=1409900400 >

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109063212?time=1409986800

Sale #3

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22683567

Sold for a collectors professional killstreak fortified compound (19 keys) (interesting note, they declined 20 keys pure, weird choice imo)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23071230 - compound trade

19 keys * 0.9 = 17 keys after overpay

Mini on gifted cold killer

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22077598 - Bought for a vintage bills (1.5 buds, no overpay needed)

Mini for nuts reggealator

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5435e007ba8d88174b8b498b

Mini for pro collectors fortified compound

I would use SCM sales, but they are few and far between, and the most recent were for $14.02 and $0.70, which clearly isn’t accurate

http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Collector%27s%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Fortified%20Compound

Instead, using the backpack.tf value for a collectors fortified compound + 4 keys for the pro kit gives us a value of 19 keys

http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Professional%20Killstreak%20Fortified%20Compound%20Kit – pro fortified compound kits run $10 - $11, which come out to ~4 keys after steam fees