Suggestion: Vivid Plasma Thirst Blood at 48–51.2 keys

Price Suggestion

~64 keys

vivid

197 votes up

44 votes down

Related Suggestions

This suggestion was accepted Thu, 23 Oct 14 21:14:45 +0000 by polar.

Comments can no longer be left on this suggestion.

Comments

'The only thing vivid about this is the price range on this thing. Especially for the sellers.'

***Third time resuggesting, because a sleepy self cannot do proofs right, apparently.

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Sale #1

http://i.gyazo.com/0e31c631d940e6064a966123757a9ee0.png - Owner's Testimony

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22967176 - Seller's Trade

Bought it with Ace's High Antlers - 2.8 Buds * 0.9 = 2.5 Buds

Proof it was traded for the Antlers: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22984312 (Check History)

***Outlier, since the item is now considered a misc and can be sold for much higher.

(Needs suggestion - Current Market is asking for 7+ Buds, so outlier even if the new price was considered.)

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Sale #2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22988092 - Owner's Trade

http://backpack.tf/item/2112908654 - Green Black Hole Pampered Pyro (2.35 Buds * 0.9 = 2.1 Buds) (Duped = 1.9 Buds)

(for)

http://backpack.tf/item/3006161117 - This Unusual

***Due to this being highly suspicious and the seller being totally suspicious, I'm going to consider this as an outlier.

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Sale #3

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23052273 - Sold (+sweets) for an Ace's High Killer Exclusive.

Proof:

http://backpack.tf/item/3044242942 - This Unusual - ? (3.5 Buds) * 0.9 (3.15 > 3.2 Buds)

http://backpack.tf/item/213626653 - Max Head - 3.3 Buds

Strange Pro KS Diamondback (Tornado, Daffoli) - 3 Keys (0.2 Buds)

Estimate Total: 7 Buds.

(for)

http://backpack.tf/item/2709630700 - Ace's High Killer Exclusive (7 Buds)

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Sale #4

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23104009 - Sold for a Max's Head. (Seller added two keys) (3.1 Buds)

http://backpack.tf/item/75291357 - Proof that it was sold.

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Sale #5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22883134 - Q. Sold for a Max's Head. (3 Buds, since duped) (QS was very close to release)

http://backpack.tf/item/75050144 - Proof

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Sale #6

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23036606 - Sold for a Miami Nights Executioner (4.8 Buds - Outdated. Lowest in Market is 5 Buds)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3050695141,921,5 - Executioner

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3050695157,30479,5 - Thirst Blood

***Outlier, since this price is expired and the current market seems to make it an outlier.

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Sale #7

http://backpack.tf/item/75068097 - Sold for this. (Duped - 3 Buds)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3050207324,30479,5 - Proof.

http://gyazo.com/4ff4af45e5c1b125901d0e8bdc5adccb - Credit to Nickps.

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Steam Community has one for $400. (Complete Outlier.)

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Conclusion

After about two hours of analyzing data, screwing up two suggestions, and literally about to smash my head into my desk--I think I have the correct price on this thing. If there is any complaints, then please save it after I get up. I need sleep badly and I just don't want to analyze or debunk anymore evidence that I already had to do this morning.

R.I.P. Thirst Blood Hype ~ Sept 2014 - Oct 2014.

that KE sale looks weird to me.

since stuff were added with the thirst. that would imply he offered it, so no overpay

7 - 3.3 - 0.2 = 3.5~

Personally, I think there are conflicting views, because another user (in my previous suggestion, before fixing it) said it was 3.1.

At this point, my brain is literally at the point of brain dead. So, if it is too conflicting, then I'll make a counter-suggestion if it gets denied.

you apply overpay on the KE in case the KE was offered (which is unlikely). 6.3 - 0.2 - 3.3 = 2.8 and that would be an outlier due to max QSs

it cannot be 3.1 in any case

The items above were offered for the KE. So it would be the other way around.

thats exactly where there is no overpay

Since when is this hat retired? People seem to think it is, am I missing something?

Looks good.

I'm still amazed at how cheap the thirst blood is, might just be me though.

So many being unboxed, think theres like 17 of these alone

True, but it will also be retired too, so in the scheme of things 500 (rounded) total unusual thirst bloods exist, which is less than some other retired hats.

It doesn't look that great imo

Difference is that for the older hats most are in private accounts, inactive accounts or collectors long ago even before they were retired. Many of which rarely enter the market unlike the blood thirst where a significant amount are on the market

Some people thought it might be like the next new thing; however, the proof that I've been getting has been saddening.

THERE ARE OVER 500 im so tired of this hat

IMO If you hold onto it for a few months its gonna pop up, being limited

its not just you theres so many of these, soon the price of these will drop

Sold mine for a clean DP KE + 2 buds + Horace, so I dont see how it can be this low but alright

there are so many of these hats

Wrong. You sold a Haunted Ghost Version of the hat. Not a Vivid Plasma.

Your Hat:

http://backpack.tf/item/3009659505

Your Receiving:

http://backpack.tf/item/271730467

http://backpack.tf/item/272982269

http://backpack.tf/item/2431462424

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3014809076,30469,1

However, what did sell for the Vivid Plasma was this...

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3011439746,341,5

Even though you got it for a pretty good deal, I hate to break it to you. You sold very close to the release date of the hat and not taking any consideration for the hype that was going on at the time. So, I'm considering it as an outlier on the basis of the hype period, just like what I did with the Strange Mann of the Seven Seas suggestion a few weeks ago.

I think the vidid need to goes around four, coz it will be never dropping/can be unboxing again!

Opinions =/= Proof.

Can you provide counter-evidence to support your claim?

Where is the overpay?

On what, sir?

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23134864 - another sale at 3 pure

Range is close here. Unbelievable how many are on the market. More than any other plasma hat I've ever seen.