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I feel bad about missing a sale
Sale #1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22766878
Sold for a genuine Horace (13.5 keys) + 16 keys = 1.7 buds after overpay
Sale #2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22336972
Sold for a TW Cloud Crasher (1.9 buds), 1.7 buds after overpay
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065500087?time=1409295600 >
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065500087?time=1409468400
Sale #3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22424451
Sold for 32 keys pure (1.9 buds)
Given the pure sale at 1.9, 1.7 – 1.9 isn’t an unreasonable value for this hat