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a) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22655162 sold as set for a burning drill
b) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22639209
all for a scorching nickel noble 7.8 -> 7.02 after overpay -> 7 Bud
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22684828
Front runner = 1.95
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/543d43c8b98d885d678b45d9
Worst = 0.95
Pick = x
Prof aus force a nature = 16 -> around 1 Bud + 0.6
Mini for profesional kit
http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Professional%20Killstreak%20Force-A-Nature%20Kit
$21.78
Ref is $0.245
21.78/0.245=88.89 ref = around 89 ref = (And key is 8.77) = 10.2 keys = 0.6 Bud
Mini for scorching (ye i know, Its updated but let me show you, needs a drop )
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/543d66d4b98d886a678b4670
1.95 + 0.95 + x + 1 + 0.6 = 6.15 -> 5.535 after overpay (he was looking for a cone
4.5 + x = 5.5
X = 1
c) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19814089 old to use , but decline 17 keys
d) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21894414
Orb fire platinum + steaming milkman= blizzard el jefe
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22036486
e) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22514153
f) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22445746
Thanks for the suggestion, but complex sales like that just cannot be used as proof, especially the only proof, in any suggestion. If any of the hats there are off by even 0.5 buds (conceivable on hats 7 in value), that wouldn't make a big difference on those hats (7 vs 7.5) but it would make a huge difference here (1 vs 1.5). We'll need to wait for a straightforward sale.