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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23146788 - 2.8
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23061901 - 3 keys (6 days, bumped)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22789600 - 3 keys (3 weeks, autobump)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23092617 - 3 keys (4 days, bumped)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23045792 - 3 keys (1 week, unbumped)
While the 2.8 seller is young, the seller at 3 keys for 3 weeks with autobump shows that 3 keys should NOT be in range
What about backpack.tf? There's currently a 2.77 seller unsold that's unbumped by 2 days. http://imgur.com/MSHZF3H It's a 3 day old listing. (http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040428928?time=1413097200)
RedMaverick799's listing is a week old. (http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197990358923?time=1412751600)
Looking at Mosiac Blue's inv history he's had it since October 5th, but I dunno when he posted it. (He made his backpack private.)
Harmless Orange's has a killstreak so I disregarded it
What I found supports your price. Upvote.
The 2.8key does not sell yet.
Staying neutral.
It's a seller, not a sold. Solds are not needed to lower a price