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Beware the price suggestion Nazis...
This time with better proof and proper pricing.
First off, I'm sorry for getting mad at people who responded to my last suggestion. I also worded some things incorrectly and it led to some confusion and arguing. There was some good things from it though, I've learned now to apply overpay. That should make y'all happy now xP
Sold in the last month
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21418231 (Sep 19, 1 month ago, old price on Hound Dog; less valid)
Black Hole Hound Dog sold for 1 bud + DP Cloud Crasher
The GBH Hound Dog has an old price of 3-3.5 buds. The Cloud Crasher would be priced at 3.25 - 1 = 2.25 * .9 = ~2 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23026669 (RECENT TRADE! Oct 13)
Kill-A-Watt Well-Rounded Rifleman sold for a DP Cloud Crasher
KAW Rifleman is worth 2.1-2.3 buds. DP Cloud Crasher would be priced at 2.2 * .9 = ~2 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23106389 (RECENT TRADE! Oct 14, hey look, it's me :3)
Ace's High Vintage Tyrolean sold for a DP Cloud Crasher
AH Vintage Tyrolean is worth 2.2-2.3 buds. Owner was looking for 2.2 pure, at least 2.3 overpay in unusuals. The expected price is at least 2.3 buds.
Current B/Os
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23167814 - 3 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22394201 - 32 keys (~2 buds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21981150 - 2.7 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23055158 - 2 buds (closed, still selling on backpack.tf for same price)
Conclusion
2.3-2.5 buds was too high from my last suggestion. 2.3 is still valid-ish, but maybe as the high value. 2 buds is a commonly seen number here and that will be the low value. I believe the new range should be 2-2.3 buds.
Please let me know if I screwed up with the overpay rule. I'm pretty sure I got it correct, but this is the first time I've done it, and the hat being priced was the one being offered in these trades, instead of vice versa from what I read.
And of course, any constructive criticism is appreciated, I will try to be less judgmental and snappy this time :P Any extra proof for or against the suggestion is also great.
I just sold mine for an Eerie Orbiting Fire Connoisseur's Cap
http://i.imgur.com/RTzsY6g.png
(2.2+3)/2 = 2.6
2.6 * .9 = ~2.3
Not as valid in my opinion, but it is a Halloween effect, not completely sure how it would play into the price range.