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Der Maschin-WHAT?
Conservative drop, since I don't think these sell for 4.33 now. If I'm wrong, do counter the suggestion if you so wish.
Not many of these on the market, 2 pages of unpainted ones on outpost and a lot of them are part of sets.
Classifieds at the time of posting:
3.88 x 1
4.00 x 7
4.33 x 2
Solds at 4 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23194360
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22831013 (Unsold, but got an offer for 4 ref 2 days ago)
(There's also one sold at 4 ref on bp.tf - http://www.trade.tf/classifieds/search/Sell/Genuine/Der%20Maschinensoldaten-Helm/all/All/1 )
I haven't found any other solds.
Unsolds at 4.33 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23123679 (5 days old)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23076617 (1 week old)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22815646 (3 weeks old, apparently lowered to 4 ref, but doesn't have regular bumping)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22341388 (1 month old)
Is this enough or do I have to wait for more solds at 4?
lol I was just gonna suggest this had all the proof and everything anyways upvote
Like BlueRain said, sellers are more important than solds when lowering, because solds can be evidence of quicksells. With his supplementary proof, I'll upvote.
You'll need more proof for the low-end, sellers to be specific, to show that 4 is common enough/4.33 rarely sells.
Here are a few more:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22580381 - 2 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23136041
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22815646
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23159737
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23150930
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23201668
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23137073
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23194797
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23093059
Looks good.