Price Suggestion
Time Warp Bot Dogger
Submitted by aaroncsn
~26.5 keys
tw
Unusual Bot Dogger Time Warp
261 votes up
26 votes down
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Comments

#Challengeoftheweek. http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/18297-challenges-of-the-week/


Sale #1

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22942397

Sold for Green Energy Madame Dixie(1.75 buds * 0.9 = ~1.6 buds) + ~1.2 keys in Sweets


Backpack of seller

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052367735?time=1412146800 Before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052367735?time=1412233200 After


Backpack of buyer

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053092804?time=1412146800 Before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053092804?time=1412233200 After


Total: ~1.7 buds


Sale #2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22984404

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23041152

Sold for Memory leak Tyrantium Helmet(1.55 buds) Refer to mini suggestion


Backpack of seller

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053092804?time=1412406000 Before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053092804?time=1413125271 After


Backpack of buyer

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041867592?time=1413010800 Before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041867592?time=1413097200 After


Total: ~1.6 buds


Sale #3

Traded this + ~3.9 keys in Sweets for Aces High Front Runner(2 * 0.9 = 1.8 buds)


Backpack of seller

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072617627?time=1412060400 Before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072617627?time=1412146800 After


Backpack of buyer

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052367735?time=1412060400 Before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052367735?time=1412146800 After


Total: ~1.6 buds


Mini suggestion

Memory Leak Tyrantium Helmet

1. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22707677 b/o 2.3 buds

2. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22820643 b/o 2 buds. Sold for Smoking Noble Amassment of Hats(1.45 buds * 0.9 = ~1.3 buds) + 7.93 refs in sweets. Making this ~1.4 buds

3. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22780865 b/o 1.6 buds

4. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21928830 Traded this + ~3 keys in items for Disco Beat Down Big Country(2.3 buds * 0.9 = ~2.1 buds) + Miami Nights Hot Dogger(1.65 buds * 0.9 = ~1.5 buds). Making this ~3.4 buds (Outlier)

5. Sold for Cloud 9 Bombing Run (1.85 buds * 0.9 = ~1.7 buds)


Backpack of seller

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047838805?time=1412352582 Before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047838805?time=1412492400 After


backpack of buyer

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094623127?time=1412406000 Before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094623127?time=1412701414 After


A range of 1.4-1.7 buds. Taking 1.55 buds as mini suggestion price.

    did you see the last suggestion ? hat is 1:1 current owner declined my offer of 1.6,clearly implying it's an outlier


    i can offer 1.8 again to make a point for 1.7 too


    http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23154871


    twatt deep vocer if he adds 1-2 buds

    clearly above any of your sales

      You can't deny the 2 sales valued at 1.6 and another at 1.7. Sales > Offers. What matters is what it has sold for and not what it could have sold for or the owner could potentially gotten more out of it. When he does sell it and if the value is higher than the sales, a new suggestion can be done. For the time being, this should be sufficient.


        this will just make it harder for the current owner to sell it

          We are just reporting the sales as it is. If the hat is suppose to worth more, it wouldn't make it hard for the current owner to sell it. It is not like people treat backpack.tf prices as bible when it comes to unusual trading anyway. It is just a reference to see what it has been sold for before.

            yeeeeah. convince yourself people don't look at bp.tf prices like a bible


              That's their problem, not ours.

                would be your problem if one of your unusuals gets priced like this.


                  If there had been three previous sales at 1.6-1.7, I would deem it worth 1.6-1.7.

                  Y'know, logically?

                  That seller has just -made-up- a B/O of 5 based on nothing.

                    logically if a hat is 1:1 and the current (last) owner obviously won't sell for 1.6-1.7,it's pointless to price it at that ridiculous price,no ?


                    easy for the "made up" b/o (even tho i love how "made up" stuff matters when someone overpays on an unusual),but if he declines a pure offer at suggested amount,again,it's pointless to suggest at that much.

                      No, because that's not how we work. If an owner wants to highball his stuff that's fine.

                        but it doesn't reflect the market


                        because currently the "market" is that one seller and his offers (as it's a 1:1 hat)

                          Then he might as well set the B/O to 100 buds while he's at it.

                          This may not reflect the market, but it reflects the perceived value by multiple traders. That's what we're after.

                          At least three previous owners of this hat valued it at 1.6-1.7.

                            again tho

                            i never said that his b/o holds any water.


                            i said that there are declined offers at the suggested range and one higher (if he adds),i can even offer 2 buds,and have no doubts it'll get declined.


                            1.6-1.7 DOES NOT reflect the (current) value of the hat,and it's better left unpriced


                            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23154871

                            seems they'll make a deal (or won't if the suggestion gets accepted before that, how sad)

                              So three sales at 1.6-1.7 and one at 5+

                              Heard of a little thing called an outlier?

                                did you ever hear a thing called logic ?


                                do you really think the new owner will just sell the hat for 1.7 after paying 5~ (even with a 3rd gen)

                                  And then we'll have multiple sales at that value, and you'll be able to resuggest, won't you.

                                  But for now, this is fine, and you can't contest that.

                                    sigh you'll never learn.

                                      Pithy remark instead of counter-argument.

                                      Excellent, we're done here then.

                                        i don't have anything to say,true.


                                        if you really agree bp.tf isn't a bible then there is NO REASON for it to get priced,because it WON'T IMPACT anything


                                        i don't really have more time to waste here,i tried my best.

                                          If bp.tf isn't a bible then we don't impact anything anyway.

                                          But, the buyer should know that this has sold for this value before.

                                          That's all we do. Report previous sales. If we price it at 1.6-1.7., that doesn't stop him paying 5 buds if he wants to.

                                          He just, can know it's sold for 1.6-1.7 three times before.

            Who cares?

      IF this is really worth more than 1.7, we can reprice it when it sells. There really isn't anything to disprove the range here though.