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I believe in a festive smissmas
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23202313 one of three sold for 1.33ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23210758 sold for 1.33ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23222516 sold for 1.33ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23222790 sold for 1.33
http://goo.gl/5N5AVf sold for 1.33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23075618 sold for 1.44
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23195674 bought four for 1ref each (check the chem set, 196/200)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23229960 sold fast for 1ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23208215 sold fast for 1ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23214590 sold fast for 1ref (assuming fast due to lack of bumping/closing)
etc. sellers/solds at 1ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23201941 sold fast for 1.11ref to this guy http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23226705 who buys for 1.11ref
About 4 pages on outpost, not all well bumped. Some killstreak'ed stuff, people looking for 2ref aprox., a couple people claiming to be using bptf prices but selling for more than bptf prices (my favorite is the guy saying he's selling for 2 scrap less than bptf price, but is asking 1.11ref), surprising number of people looking for offers or have no b/o, some in sets, and some aren't even selling festive flare guns, they're buying for a chem set.
Can still get these for 1ref, but those usually go fast, 1.33 is definitely possible, so a range it is. Yes I own 2, got some to test the market, and sold one as you can see. No, don't ask me to trade the collector's festive flare gun.
http://goo.gl/kJO0xM sold for 1.11ref + scottish handshake + strange eviction notice
Proof seems legit and range nice. Upvote from me.