Suggestion: Bill's Hat at 4.2–4.8 keys

http://backpack.tf/classifieds/?item=Bill%27s%20Hat&quality=6&tradable=1&craftable=1 - 7 at 4 keys + 4 ref (1 painted green, 1 painted purple, 1 painted color 216, 1 painted greed), 1 at 4 keys + 4.33 (painted operators), 2 at 4 keys + 4.55 (1 painted drab), 5 at 4 keys + 5 ref (1 painted ts, 1 painted lime, 1 painted gold), 2 at 4 keys + 6 ref (1 painted air of debonair), 1 at 4 keys + 6.88, 4 at 4 keys + 7 ref (1 painted white, 1 painted pink), 1 at 4 keys + 7.55, 4 at 4 keys + 8 ref (2 painted ts, 1 painted orange, 1 painted olive), 1 at 4 keys + 9 ref, 87 at 5 keys (lots of painted, not going to list since there are so many)

Sellers at 4.2 keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23303376 - sold

Sellers at 4.4 keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23304639 - sold (painted white)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23304274 - unsold (less than an hour) (painted lime)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23303113 - unsold (3 hours)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23298855 - unsold (10 hours) (painted green, color 216, purple)

Sellers at 4.8 keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23303197 - sold for 40.11 + 14 pans (4.8 keys) (painted black)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23304151 - unsold (1 hour) (painted ts)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23286626 - unsold (1 day)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23262833 - unsold (3 days) (painted ts)

Sellers at 5 keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23304172 - sold (painted ts)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23304463 - unsold (less than an hour)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23304416 - unsold (less than an hour) (painted lime)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23302778 - unsold (3 hours) (painted gold)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23302809 - unsold (3 hours) (painted purple)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23302214 - unsold (5 hours) (painted pink)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23295807 - unsold (14 hours) (painted balaclavas)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23289902 - unsold (22 hours)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23280119 - unsold (1 day) (painted ts)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23285386 - unsold (1 day) (painted lime)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23286626 - unsold (1 day) (painted ts)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23262589 - unsold (3 days) (painted pink)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23242449 - unsold (4 days) (painted green)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23217942 - unsold (5 days) (painted ts)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22927233 - unsold (3 weeks) (painted greed)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22789778 - unsold (1 month)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20978234 - unsold (3 months)

Unsold, less than an hour, are you serious? How often do you sell items in less than an hour?

You'd get lucky if you sell a bill's hat a few days with this many sellers.

I am starting to disagree with this flood of suggestions that keep bringing bill's hat down in an unstoppable fashion. The prices keep getting updated without leaving time to stabilize. At this point, bp.tf is not representing the market price, but rather, causing fear and chaos in the market. Please put a longer cooldown on this.

While you may disagree and many does share your dissent, Bill's Hats are deflating because of the SCM.

If you just look at the statistics of Trade.TF and SCM, they're around 4.2 Keys or ~$11 at this moment.

Even though we shouldn't base it off the market, you can see a correlation why the prices are falling?

I do agree. We do need a cooldown period on these Bill Hat's, especially with how much they've been dropping and the suggestions...

And you only had one sale at 5 keys, but I'm very certain it is because of the paint.

i found others which were unpainted which is why i stopped gathering proof like i said

You need way more proof to proof people are not quickselling in 4 key

Honestly, I'm going to say downvote on the basis of the proof and the range seems a bit too wide. Maybe a conservative drop is needed, but definitely not a wide-ended drop like this. I would probably advise like 4.5 to 4.8 keys maybe.

Bill's was awesome...8-10 keys ;-;