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8 months old price. Resuggesting.
Sales
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22543877 - sold for searing noir ~2.1 + flies kabuto ~1.7 + orb fire hoodie ~1.5 = ~5.3*0.9 = ~4.8 ( http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057966196?time=1413874800 | http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057966196?time=1413961200 )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23075623 - sold for 4 pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22509873 - sold for 4 pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22287590 - sold for 4.2 pure ( http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001304064?time=1409209200 ) - credits to polar for this sale
The other sales are on dupes or just too old to use.
Mini on orb fire hoodie:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23245247 - sold for aces front runner ~2*0.9 = ~1.8, but B/O at 1.5
it looks like 4.8 would be an outlier here.
Take a look at my previous suggestion for it. 4 was supposed to be an outlier since it goes pretty quick at that point