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~272.5 keys
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Unusual Das Gutenkutteharen Burning Flames
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Burning Flames Das Gutenkutteharensmokeweedeveryday


Picking up where aaroncsn probably got frustrated half a year ago.


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197990172296?time=1413702000

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23220734 - sold for PE HWNN (8.7 * 0.9 = ~7.8)


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089942274?time=1413615600

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23133132 - sold for Scorching Private Eye¹ + Black Bill's + 1 bud pure ( (7.8 * 0.9 = 7) + (6 / 16 = 0.4) + 1 = ~8.4)


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046727200?time=1406703600

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21304284 - sold with Hellfire Hazmatten for Flies Noh Mercy

Couldn't track the other sale in the trade.


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046163953?time=1407826800

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21856565 - sold for PE Flamenco² + Holy Grail Fresh Brewed³ ( (7 * 0.9 = 6.3) + (3.9 * 0.9 = 3.5) = ~9.8)


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099704566?time=1407481200

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21854313 - sold for Beams Western Wear + TF Logo Cosa + Beams Scotsman ( (2.7 * 0.9 = 2.4) + (2.2 * 0.9 = 2) + (5 * 0.9 = 4.5) = ~8.9)


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060968956?time=1407481200

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21821288 - sold for 6 buds + 36 keys (buds were 18, 36 keys = 2 buds) = 8 pure


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081944217?time=1407394800

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21801441 - unclear


¹Private eye:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23274408 - offer of 7 + OF Crown (0.9 * 9 = ~0.8) = 7.8

No recent sales, going to use 7.8.


²Flamenco wasn't outdated at time of sale.

³Fresh Brewed wasn't outdated either.


7.8, 8, 8.4, 8.9, 9.8


A 2 bud range won't hurt here, right? Right...?

    why is bucket so lucky ,_,

    I feel like 9.8 might be an outlier here? maybe a range of 7.8-8.9? idk though, I assume you put 9.8 in for a reason

      eh, 9.8 isn't too far away from 8.9, it shouldn't hurt.

        oh yeah, for some reason I thought it was a 3 bud range of 7-9.8, 9.8 should be fine here

    2 bud range won't hurt for an initial pricing I don't think.

    Also, that Noh Mercy sale looks really odd, they probably added quite a bit. (If not, I feel sorry for the past owner)

      I'm confident the HWNN sale is incorrect.

      Look at the history: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3064712981,631,5

      It was traded to him then back, I don't think that is the correct sale.


      The 8 bud sale looks like a quicksell to me at the time, it took a mere 2 days for the pure. It might not be a quicksell today, but should we really count quicksells, even if they were in the past?


      The first few sales on this one http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2849999547,30127,5 were very fast, and since they all sold so fast I believe that this dropped the value of it. Basically, one person buys it cheap, sells it cheap, and so on. Nothing you can really do about that part though

        Can you confirm the Noh Mercy sale, since it was to you?

          hellfire haz+burning guten for flies noh, he offered

            Thanks for clearing that up :)

          Unsure about what I can do for that sale. I did think it was a little weird with a 15 bud B/O and all. http://backpack.tf/item/3059559311 - looks like the same story here. Can't find anything else in the bp history related to both traders though. Vetro's got this shit covered.


          8 bud sale looks quick, but the first few sales on the one you mentioned were quick too, I think if those get factored in, then the 8 bud pure should too. Unless I can find what that first sale actually was (which i'll spend a little time doing) then I'll tighten the range eventually.


          I'm not adverse to doing a mini for the hellfire hazmatten, the noh's value is usable after all.

            I can confirm the HWNN sale is correct.


            Herbs bought it as a quicksell and then sold it to a dude for the scorching private eye. Then the guy that got the PE hwnn traded it for the guten blalalal. But i can confirm herbs bought it, sold it for an unusual and got it back with a third unusual which makes the sale correct. You may ask him aswell

              Mr Buket is right :

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23220734 not correct trade --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3064712981,631,5

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21821288 100 % quicksale

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2849999547,30127,5 sold " very fast, and since they all sold so fast "

              So better to use these 3 last sale : http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23133132 (~8.4) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21854313 (~8.9)

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21856565 (~9.8)

              8.4-9.8 ?

                8.9 sale was faster than the 8 pure sale. That's why I'm using all of these.

                  I think here the main thing big difference in price ranges and http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2849999547,30127,5 sold " very fast, and since they all sold so fast " ^^. Here better to reject the extremes max or min sale prices .

                  You collected good evidence (nice price suggestion) +, but price range ?

                    In retrospect a tighter range is probably better. Also, as said below, the 9.8 sale is probably wrong because of the messed up history on the Milkman, so that may be an outlier. Re-suggesting.

              I traded a Duped Scorchmilkman, PE flamenco, Pro KS Big Kill, Holy grail fresh brew, for it i can provide proof if you want to add me, please try to be more acurate in your suggestions Thank You

              Id buy it for this price for my beams beak to look 100% more badass