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Oh great. This will be fun now.
Road to price the Circling Heart Familiar Fez.
Sale 1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22964685 - Sold with 1 bud for a Burning Flames Backbiter's Billycock (4.8 buds) (4.8 - 1 = 3.8 buds). No overpay.
Sale 2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22763405 - Sold for a Vivid Plasma Killer's Kabuto (4.1*0.9 = 3.7 buds)
Feel free to counter / support my proofs.
Second sale, fedora's owner added a bill's - http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3015275378,126,6