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Being sold for 6 ref to 1 key:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23370990 - 6 ref (18 hours, bumped)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23271513 - 6 ref (6 days, unbumped)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22967924 - 8 ref (3 weeks, bumped, recently changed price from 1 key)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23238803 - 8.66 ref (1 week, bumped)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23282449 - 1 key (5 days, bumped)
This price range is also apparent in the classifieds.
I don't really know if any have been sold recently, so ya.
I'd make 6 flat and remove 1 key from the range once at all